Legia Warsaw vs Dinamo Minsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Legia Warsaw - Dinamo Minsk
Result
4:0
07/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6, Moja TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 15
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoFOX Sports 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 12, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.460.47
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1210
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
23
Free Kicks
158
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2118
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Fouls
815
Yellow Cards
14
Total Passes
496391
Completed Passes
387299
Crosses Completed
22
Interceptions
718

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Luquinhas , Wszolek P. (A),
  • 13', Gavrilovich A. 🟨,
  • 26', Alfred S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Gual M. (Pen),
  • 54', Podstrelov D. 🟨,
  • 55', 3 - 0, Luquinhas , Vinagre R. (A),
  • 59', 4 - 0, Gual M. , Morishita R. (A),
  • 60', Pankov R. , Jedrzejczyk A. ,
  • 60', Gual M. , Nsame J. ,
  • 63', Gavrilovich A. , Zherdev G. ,
  • 63', Sedko P. , Adeola R. ,
  • 73', Vinagre R. , Kun P. ,
  • 73', Luquinhas , Alfarela M. ,
  • 77', Kapustka B. , Celhaka J. ,
  • 80', Pigas V. 🟨,
  • 82', Selyava A. , Okoro J. ,
  • 90+2', Augustyniak R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
67.9%
Draw
20.7%
Dinamo Minsk
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 21.1% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69% 19.8% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Dinamo Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Dinamo Minsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.4)
    4.57
    (4.3)
    8.22
    (6.5)
    6.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Dinamo Minsk?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 43 - 86%). Dinamo Minsk will win (votes: 3 - 6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 76.4%95.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Legia in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Dinamo Minsk is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Legia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Legia is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Legia: Elitim J. (Knee Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dinamo Minsk: Melnichenko T. (Red Card) Sachivko A. (Injury) Silinsky D. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Legia to win the game is with odds 1.42.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Dinamo Minsk
    02.11.2024 Dinamo Minsk - Slutsk 2:0
    24.10.2024 HJK - Dinamo Minsk 1:0
    13.10.2024 Naftan - Dinamo Minsk 1:2
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
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    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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