Legia Warsaw vs Dinamo Minsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Legia Warsaw - Dinamo Minsk
Result
4:0
07/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6, Moja TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 15
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoFOX Sports 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 12, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.460.47
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1210
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
23
Free Kicks
158
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2118
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Fouls
815
Yellow Cards
14
Total Passes
496391
Completed Passes
387299
Crosses Completed
22
Interceptions
718

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Luquinhas , Wszolek P. (A),
  • 13', Gavrilovich A. 🟨,
  • 26', Alfred S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Gual M. (Pen),
  • 54', Podstrelov D. 🟨,
  • 55', 3 - 0, Luquinhas , Vinagre R. (A),
  • 59', 4 - 0, Gual M. , Morishita R. (A),
  • 60', Pankov R. , Jedrzejczyk A. ,
  • 60', Gual M. , Nsame J. ,
  • 63', Gavrilovich A. , Zherdev G. ,
  • 63', Sedko P. , Adeola R. ,
  • 73', Vinagre R. , Kun P. ,
  • 73', Luquinhas , Alfarela M. ,
  • 77', Kapustka B. , Celhaka J. ,
  • 80', Pigas V. 🟨,
  • 82', Selyava A. , Okoro J. ,
  • 90+2', Augustyniak R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
67.9%
Draw
20.7%
Dinamo Minsk
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 21.1% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69% 19.8% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Dinamo Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Dinamo Minsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.4)
    4.57
    (4.3)
    8.22
    (6.5)
    6.4%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Dinamo Minsk?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 43 - 86%). Dinamo Minsk will win (votes: 3 - 6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 76.4%95.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Legia in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Dinamo Minsk is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Legia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Legia is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Legia: Elitim J. (Knee Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dinamo Minsk: Melnichenko T. (Red Card) Sachivko A. (Injury) Silinsky D. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Legia to win the game is with odds 1.42.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Dinamo Minsk
    02.11.2024 Dinamo Minsk - Slutsk 2:0
    24.10.2024 HJK - Dinamo Minsk 1:0
    13.10.2024 Naftan - Dinamo Minsk 1:2
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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