Legia Warsaw vs Dinamo Minsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
07/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6, Moja TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 15
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoFOX Sports 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 12, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.460.47
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1210
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
23
Free Kicks
158
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2118
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Fouls
815
Yellow Cards
14
Total Passes
496391
Completed Passes
387299
Crosses Completed
22
Interceptions
718

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Luquinhas , Wszolek P. (A),
  • 13', Gavrilovich A. 🟨,
  • 26', Alfred S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Gual M. (Pen),
  • 54', Podstrelov D. 🟨,
  • 55', 3 - 0, Luquinhas , Vinagre R. (A),
  • 59', 4 - 0, Gual M. , Morishita R. (A),
  • 60', Pankov R. , Jedrzejczyk A. ,
  • 60', Gual M. , Nsame J. ,
  • 63', Gavrilovich A. , Zherdev G. ,
  • 63', Sedko P. , Adeola R. ,
  • 73', Vinagre R. , Kun P. ,
  • 73', Luquinhas , Alfarela M. ,
  • 77', Kapustka B. , Celhaka J. ,
  • 80', Pigas V. 🟨,
  • 82', Selyava A. , Okoro J. ,
  • 90+2', Augustyniak R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
67.9%
Draw
20.7%
Dinamo Minsk
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 21.1% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69% 19.8% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Dinamo Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Dinamo Minsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.4)
    4.57
    (4.3)
    8.22
    (6.5)
    6.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Dinamo Minsk?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 43 - 86%). Dinamo Minsk will win (votes: 3 - 6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 76.4%95.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Legia in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Dinamo Minsk is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Legia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Legia is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Legia: Elitim J. (Knee Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dinamo Minsk: Melnichenko T. (Red Card) Sachivko A. (Injury) Silinsky D. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Legia to win the game is with odds 1.42.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Dinamo Minsk
    02.11.2024 Dinamo Minsk - Slutsk 2:0
    24.10.2024 HJK - Dinamo Minsk 1:0
    13.10.2024 Naftan - Dinamo Minsk 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2