Legia Warsaw vs Jablonec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Club Friendly Legia Warsaw - Jablonec
Result
1:0
30/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Club Friendly

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Alegue A. 🟨,
  • 40', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Chramosta J. , Lavrincik S. ,
  • 46', Soucek D. , Martinec J. ,
  • 55', Gual M. , Shkurin I. ,
  • 58', Jawo L. , Fortelny J. ,
  • 58', Alegue A. , Puskac D. ,
  • 62', Augustyniak R. , Oyedele M. ,
  • 62', Ziolkowski J. , Pankov R. ,
  • 62', Kapustka B. , Goncalves C. ,
  • 62', Vinagre R. , Kun P. ,
  • 62', Bichakhchyan V. , Chodyna K. ,
  • 82', 1 - 0, Shkurin I. ,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
45.6%
Draw
25.3%
Jablonec
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 26.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 26.3% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.
  • Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jablonec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jablonec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Legia Warsaw - Jablonec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.5)
    3.65
    (3.4)
    3.17
    (2.4)
    8.3%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Jablonec?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Jablonec will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • Recent performances by Legia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Jablonec is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Jablonec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Jablonec
    27.06.2025 Jablonec - Botoșani 5:1
    21.06.2025 Mladá Boleslav - Jablonec 2:2
    20.06.2025 Jablonec - Chrudim 3:0
    24.05.2025 Viktoria Plzeň - Jablonec 4:1
    18.05.2025 Jablonec - Slavia Prague 3:2