Legia Warsaw vs Korona Kielce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw).

Ekstraklasa - Round 19
Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.22	2.30
Ball possession
63%	37%
Total shots
17	15
Shots on target
8	3
Big chances
2	5
Corner kicks
5	3
Passes
81% (413/511)	68% (203/298)
Expected goals (xG)
2.22	2.30
xG on target (xGOT)
2.26	1.60
Total shots
17	15
Shots on target
8	3
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked shots
5	5
Shots inside the box
15	12
Shots outside the box
2	3
Hit the woodwork
0	2
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
2	5
Corner kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
50	30
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
10	12
Passes
81% (413/511)	68% (203/298)
Long passes
44% (28/64)	31% (20/64)
Passes in final third
76% (156/205)	57% (56/98)
Crosses
33% (9/27)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.50	1.05
Throw ins
27	12
Fouls
12	10
Tackles
67% (10/15)	63% (15/24)
Duels won
63	52
Clearances
18	31
Interceptions
11	12
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	7
xGOT faced
1.60	2.26
Goals prevented
-0.40	1.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Stepinski M. ⚽, Svetlin T. (A),
44', Rajovic M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Urbanski K. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
56', Stojanovic P. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
64', Remacle M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
64', Antonin ↓, Blanik D. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Kapustka B. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Jedrzejczyk A. ↓, Kun P. ↑,
83', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Stepinski M. ⚽, Resta P. (A),
90+2', Stepinski M. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
90+2', Kapustka B. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
90+2', Dlugosz W. ↓, Nono ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Legia Warsaw
50.9%

Draw
26.9%

Korona Kielce
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

29.2%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.77)	3.52 ↑ (3.48)	4.24 ↓ (4.42)	6.5% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce?

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2.
Legia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Korona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Legia: Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Korona: Davidovic S. (Injury)
There are questionable in Legia: Vinagre R. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:21. (average 2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Korona Kielce?

Legia Warsaw has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Legia Warsaw?

Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce were as follows:

27.07.2025 Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw 0:2

02.02.2025 Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce 1:1

28.07.2024 Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw 0:1

25.02.2024 Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw 3:3

06.12.2023 Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw 2:1

Latest results of Legia Warsaw

22.01.2026 Legia Warsaw - Sparta Prague 0:1 ✺

19.01.2026 Legia Warsaw - Polissya Zhytomyr 0:0 ✺

16.01.2026 Legia Warsaw - Sigma Olomouc 1:0 ✺

12.01.2026 Legia Warsaw - Puskás Academy 1:1 ✺

18.12.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lincoln Red Imps 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Korona Kielce

23.01.2026 Korona Kielce - Vojvodina Canceled ✺

20.01.2026 Korona Kielce - Dynamo Kyiv 0:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Korona Kielce - Spartak Trnava 3:1 ✺

14.01.2026 CSKA Sofia - Korona Kielce 0:2 ✺

08.12.2025 Korona Kielce - Wisła Płock 1:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jagiellonia	22	10	8	4	39:26	13	38
2	Zaglebie	23	10	8	5	37:27	10	38
3	Lech Poznan	23	10	8	5	40:34	6	38
4	Gornik Zabrze	23	10	4	9	33:31	2	34
5	Rakow	23	10	4	9	31:29	2	34
6	Cracovia	23	8	9	6	29:25	4	33
7	Wisla Plock	23	8	9	6	24:20	4	33
8	Pogon Szczecin	23	9	4	10	33:35	-2	31
9	Korona Kielce	23	8	6	9	27:26	1	30
10	GKS Katowice	22	9	3	10	31:32	-1	30
11	Motor Lublin	23	7	9	7	32:37	-5	30
12	Radomiak Radom	22	7	8	7	37:34	3	29
13	Piast Gliwice	23	8	5	10	26:28	-2	29
14	Lechia Gdansk	23	9	6	8	46:45	1	28
15	Arka Gdynia	22	7	5	10	21:38	-17	26
16	Legia	23	5	10	8	27:29	-2	25
17	Widzew Lodz	23	7	3	13	29:33	-4	24
18	Termalica B-B	23	5	7	11	27:40	-13	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1