Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
75:83
14/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Basket Liga - Round 20
  • Referee: Matuszewska E. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 4

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
2025
Field goals made
1114
Field goals %
55%56%
2-point field goals attempts
1614
2-point field goals made
1011
2-point field goals %
62.5%78.57%
3-point field goals attempts
411
3-point field goals made
13
3-point field goals %
25%27.27%
Free throws attempts
143
Free throws made
103
Free throws %
71.4%100%
Offensive rebounds
02
Defensive rebounds
910
Total rebounds
912
Assists
57
Blocks
10
Turnovers
57
Steals
44
Personal fouls
210

Chances of winning


Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
38.7%
Legia Warsaw
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 55%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.6)

    1.53
    (1.41)
    7.4%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 164.25
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Ostrów won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Stal Ostrów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Legia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stal Ostrów won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1707:1619. (average 85.4:81).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Ostrów won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 743:727. (average 82.6:80.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski 98:89
    23.03.2025 Legia Warsaw - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski 80:79
    16.11.2024 Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Legia Warsaw 75:90
    18.02.2024 Legia Warsaw - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski 94:71
    04.02.2024 Legia Warsaw - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski 88:96
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Polish Basket Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Szczecin201461663:161734
    2Trefl Sopot201371763:165633
    3Legia201371679:158033
    4Dziki Warszawa201281835:169332
    5Gdynia191271605:154231
    6Slask Wroclaw181351601:147731
    7Zielona Gora201191706:162931
    8Anwil Wloclawek201191791:171631
    9Dabrowa Gornicza2010101733:172930
    10Ostrow Wielkopolski2010101675:173330
    11Gornik Walbrzych191091525:155529
    12Torun208121757:179128
    13Lublin207131629:178427
    14Czarni Slupsk206141661:176026
    15GTK Gliwice205151589:178325
    16Krosno203171640:180723

          Promotion ~ Basket Liga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Basket Liga (Play~in: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Liga