Result
1:2
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 23
- Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (387/458) | 85% (383/448) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (387/458) | 85% (383/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 40% (17/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (112/152) | 78% (94/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/18) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 48% (12/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, James J. ⚽, Ayew J. (A),
- 19', Fatawu I. 🟨,
- 42', Skipp O. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Maamma O. ⚽, Louza I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Louza I. 🟨,
- 61', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
- 63', Mavididi S. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 2, Pollock M. ⚽, Louza I. (A),
- 66', Ince T. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
- 69', Mavididi S. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
- 75', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Ramsey A. ↑,
- 80', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
- 80', Maamma O. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
- 87', Pereira R. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
- 87', Skipp O. ↓, Choudhury H. ↑,
- 90+1', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Leicester City 41.6% | Draw 27.7% | Watford 30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Leicester City - Watford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.28 ↑ (2.21) |
3.38 ↓ (3.45) |
3.07 ↓ (3.17) |
6.1% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leicester City - Watford?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Watford will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 50.6% – 85.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leicester (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 5.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Leicester will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Leicester: Daka P.
(International duty)
Soumare B.
(Knee Injury)
Souttar H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Watford: Baah K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Doumbia M.
(International duty)
Grieves J.
(Ankle Injury)
Kayembe E.
(International duty)
Vata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wiley C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Leicester: Kristiansen V.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:8. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Leicester City won against Watford?
Leicester City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Leicester City?
Watford has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leicester City - Watford were as follows:
10.02.2024
Watford
-
Leicester City
1:2
25.11.2023
Leicester City
-
Watford
2:0
Latest results of Leicester City
Latest results of Watford
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 54:25 | 29 | 51 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 43 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Hull | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 40:37 | 3 | 41 |
| 5 | Millwall | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 27:32 | -5 | 39 |
| 6 | Watford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Preston | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 9 | QPR | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 | Stoke | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 11 | Wrexham | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leicester | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34:34 | 0 | 34 |
| 13 | Southampton | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 32 |
| 14 | Derby | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 32 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:31 | 1 | 31 |
| 16 | West Brom | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28:32 | -4 | 31 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 29 |
| 18 | Swansea | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 25:31 | -6 | 29 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 20 | Charlton | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 27 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 22 |
| 23 | Norwich | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 21 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 18:45 | -27 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One