Leicester City vs Watford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 23
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.35
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
84% (387/458)85% (383/448)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.241.36
Total shots
913
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1321
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
814
Passes
84% (387/458)85% (383/448)
Long passes
52% (24/46)40% (17/43)
Passes in final third
74% (112/152)78% (94/121)
Crosses
6% (1/18)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.381.21
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
148
Tackles
63% (12/19)48% (12/25)
Duels won
3457
Clearances
1732
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.360.24
Goals prevented
-0.64-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, James J. , Ayew J. (A),
  • 19', Fatawu I. 🟨,
  • 42', Skipp O. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Maamma O. , Louza I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Louza I. 🟨,
  • 61', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
  • 63', Mavididi S. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Pollock M. , Louza I. (A),
  • 66', Ince T. , Irankunda N. ,
  • 69', Mavididi S. , Monga J. ,
  • 75', De Cordova-Reid B. , Ramsey A. ,
  • 80', Kjerrumgaard L. , Semedo V. ,
  • 80', Maamma O. , Sissoko M. ,
  • 87', Pereira R. , Thomas S. ,
  • 87', Skipp O. , Choudhury H. ,
  • 90+1', Chakvetadze G. , Morris J. ,

Chances of winning


Leicester City
41.6%
Draw
27.7%
Watford
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 27.4% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 27.1% 29.5%

Leicester City - Watford Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.28
(2.21)
3.38
(3.45)
3.07
(3.17)
6.1%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leicester City - Watford?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Watford will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 50.6%85.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leicester (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Watford (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Leicester (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Watford (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 5.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Leicester will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Leicester: Daka P. (International duty) Soumare B. (Knee Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Watford: Baah K. (Hamstring Injury) Doumbia M. (International duty) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Kayembe E. (International duty) Vata R. (Hamstring Injury) Wiley C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leicester: Kristiansen V. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 2.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:8. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leicester City - Watford were as follows:
    10.02.2024 Watford - Leicester City 1:2
    25.11.2023 Leicester City - Watford 2:0
    Latest results of Leicester City
    Latest results of Watford
    20.12.2025 Watford - Stoke City 1:0
    13.12.2025 Wrexham - Watford 2:2
    06.12.2025 Watford - Norwich City 3:2
    01.12.2025 Birmingham City - Watford 2:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry28177461:313058
    2Middlesbrough28157642:291352
    3Ipswich27148547:242350
    4Hull27145845:39647
    5Millwall28137832:35-346
    6Preston281110736:29743
    7Watford27119738:32642
    8Stoke281251133:25841
    9Wrexham281011740:35541
    10Derby28118938:36241
    11Bristol City281171038:31740
    12QPR281171038:39-140
    13Birmingham281081038:37138
    14Leicester281081039:41-238
    15Southampton28991040:40036
    16Swansea281061231:35-436
    17Sheffield Utd271021536:40-432
    18Charlton27881127:34-732
    19West Brom28941531:43-1231
    20Norwich28861435:40-530
    21Portsmouth26781123:36-1329
    22Blackburn27771325:36-1128
    23Oxford Utd27591325:35-1024
    24Sheffield Wed27181818:54-36-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One