Watford vs Leicester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 39
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.272.11
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
615
Shots on target
25
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
74
Passes
76% (253/333)80% (329/413)
Yellow cards
34
Expected goals (xG)
0.272.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.501.41
Total shots
615
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
26
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
311
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2225
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
813
Passes
76% (253/333)80% (329/413)
Long passes
49% (32/65)34% (22/65)
Passes in final third
68% (93/137)65% (72/110)
Crosses
12% (2/17)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.67
Throw ins
2530
Fouls
138
Tackles
64% (7/11)55% (12/22)
Duels won
4364
Clearances
2929
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
1.410.50
Goals prevented
1.410.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Mendy F. 🟨,
  • 17', Mavididi S. 🟨,
  • 41', Daka P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 42', James J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mendy F. , Keben K. ,
  • 54', Fatawu I. 🟨,
  • 60', James J. , Mukasa D. ,
  • 61', Mavididi S. , De Cordova-Reid B. ,
  • 66', Chakvetadze G. , Bove E. ,
  • 66', Louza I. , Mendy N. ,
  • 76', Kjerrumgaard L. , Doumbia M. ,
  • 79', Lascelles J. , Nelson B. ,
  • 79', Skipp O. , Aribo J. ,
  • 86', Ekwah P. , Semedo V. ,
  • 89', Daka P. , Ayew J. ,
  • 90+1', Doumbia M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', De Cordova-Reid B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Selvik E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Watford
47.4%
Draw
25.9%
Leicester City
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 27% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 26.4% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Watford - Leicester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.95)
    3.66
    (3.43)
    3.55
    (3.62)
    5.5%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Watford - Leicester City?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Leicester will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 48.9%92.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 9 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Watford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Watford is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Watford: Baah K. (Injury) Kyprianou H. (Ankle Injury) Maamma O. (Injury) Ngakia J. (Inactive) Petris J. (Inactive) Vata R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Leicester: Begovic A. (Injury) Kristiansen V. (Injury) Ramsey A. (Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vestergaard J. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Kayembe E. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Watford won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 20:41. (average 1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Leicester City were as follows:
    26.12.2025 Leicester City - Watford 1:2
    10.02.2024 Watford - Leicester City 1:2
    25.11.2023 Leicester City - Watford 2:0
    Latest results of Watford
    17.03.2026 Watford - Wrexham 3:1
    14.03.2026 Stoke City - Watford 3:1
    27.02.2026 Bristol City - Watford 1:2
    24.02.2026 Watford - Ipswich Town 0:2
    Latest results of Leicester City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One