Leicester City vs Watford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 23
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.35
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
84% (387/458)85% (383/448)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.241.36
Total shots
913
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1321
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
814
Passes
84% (387/458)85% (383/448)
Long passes
52% (24/46)40% (17/43)
Passes in final third
74% (112/152)78% (94/121)
Crosses
6% (1/18)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.381.21
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
148
Tackles
63% (12/19)48% (12/25)
Duels won
3457
Clearances
1732
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.360.24
Goals prevented
-0.64-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, James J. , Ayew J. (A),
  • 19', Fatawu I. 🟨,
  • 42', Skipp O. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Maamma O. , Louza I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Louza I. 🟨,
  • 61', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
  • 63', Mavididi S. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Pollock M. , Louza I. (A),
  • 66', Ince T. , Irankunda N. ,
  • 69', Mavididi S. , Monga J. ,
  • 75', De Cordova-Reid B. , Ramsey A. ,
  • 80', Kjerrumgaard L. , Semedo V. ,
  • 80', Maamma O. , Sissoko M. ,
  • 87', Pereira R. , Thomas S. ,
  • 87', Skipp O. , Choudhury H. ,
  • 90+1', Chakvetadze G. , Morris J. ,

Chances of winning


Leicester City
41.6%
Draw
27.7%
Watford
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 27.4% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 27.1% 29.5%

Leicester City - Watford Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.28
(2.21)
3.38
(3.45)
3.07
(3.17)
6.1%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leicester City - Watford?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Watford will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 50.6%85.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Watford (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leicester City will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Leicester (votes: 6 - 75%). Watford (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 5.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Leicester will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Leicester: Daka P. (International duty) Soumare B. (Knee Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Watford: Baah K. (Hamstring Injury) Doumbia M. (International duty) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Kayembe E. (International duty) Vata R. (Hamstring Injury) Wiley C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leicester: Kristiansen V. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 2.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:8. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leicester City - Watford were as follows:
    10.02.2024 Watford - Leicester City 1:2
    25.11.2023 Leicester City - Watford 2:0
    Latest results of Leicester City
    Latest results of Watford
    20.12.2025 Watford - Stoke City 1:0
    13.12.2025 Wrexham - Watford 2:2
    06.12.2025 Watford - Norwich City 3:2
    01.12.2025 Birmingham City - Watford 2:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough31187649:301961
    2Coventry31178663:352859
    3Ipswich30159651:292254
    4Hull31166950:43754
    5Millwall31158839:36353
    6Wrexham311211844:39547
    7Preston311211838:34447
    8Bristol City311371143:38546
    9Southampton3212101048:44446
    10Birmingham3212101043:39446
    11Derby311291045:39645
    12Watford311111939:36344
    13QPR311281142:43-144
    14Stoke311271234:28643
    15Swansea311261338:37142
    16Norwich321161542:42039
    17Sheffield Utd311231644:45-139
    18Charlton30991229:38-936
    19West Brom32971632:47-1534
    20Portsmouth29891227:38-1133
    21Leicester321081444:51-732
    22Blackburn31881527:40-1332
    23Oxford Utd326101628:44-1628
    24Sheffield Wed31182218:62-44-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One