Leicester City vs Wrexham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Leicester City - Wrexham
Result
1:1
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 8
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.89
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
92% (624/680)84% (272/324)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.510.62
Total shots
169
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2416
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
79
Passes
92% (624/680)84% (272/324)
Long passes
67% (18/27)53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
82% (144/175)60% (33/55)
Crosses
29% (7/24)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.360.48
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
97
Tackles
60% (6/10)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4253
Clearances
1823
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.620.51
Goals prevented
-0.38-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Faes W. 🟨,
  • 34', Thomas L. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, James J. , Daka P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Thomas L. , Kristiansen V. ,
  • 57', Longman R. 🟨,
  • 61', Sheaf B. , James M. ,
  • 61', Windass J. , Broadhead N. ,
  • 68', Monga J. , Mavididi S. ,
  • 68', De Cordova-Reid B. , Skipp O. ,
  • 73', Longman R. , McClean J. ,
  • 73', Kabore I. , Barnett R. ,
  • 73', Skipp O. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Broadhead N. , O'Brien L. (A),
  • 82', Daka P. , Ayew J. ,
  • 82', James J. , Carranza J. ,
  • 82', Moore K. , Smith S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leicester City
56.1%
Draw
23.8%
Wrexham
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 22.4% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 24.4% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leicester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Leicester City - Wrexham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.66)
    4.01
    (4.25)
    4.75
    (4.7)
    4.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Leicester City - Wrexham?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Leicester (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH -0.5 - Leicester (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.85%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leicester City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Wrexham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Leicester is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Leicester: Ramsey A. (Red Card) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Inactive) Cacace L. (Knock) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leicester: Page L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wrexham: Rathbone O. (Ankle Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Leicester City
    Latest results of Wrexham
    27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1
    23.09.2025 Wrexham - Reading 2:0
    20.09.2025 Norwich City - Wrexham 2:3
    30.08.2025 Millwall - Wrexham 0:2
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough853012:5718
    2Coventry844022:71516
    3Stoke842210:5514
    4West Brom84229:7214
    5Bristol City834114:8613
    6Leicester834110:7313
    7Preston83419:7213
    8Swansea83329:7212
    9Charlton83328:6212
    10QPR833211:13-212
    11Birmingham83237:10-311
    12Millwall83236:12-611
    13Ipswich724112:7510
    14Southampton824210:11-110
    15Wrexham823313:14-19
    16Watford82339:10-19
    17Portsmouth82337:9-29
    18Hull823313:16-39
    19Norwich822410:11-18
    20Derby814310:14-47
    21Oxford Utd81349:11-26
    22Blackburn72056:10-46
    23Sheffield Wed81348:15-76
    24Sheffield Utd81073:15-123

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One