LWD Basket vs Leiden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Dutch DBL LWD Basket - Leiden
Result
85:90
28/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DBL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5868
Field Goals Made
2937
Field Goals %
50%54.4%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3648
2-Point Field Goals Made
2029
2-Point Field Goals %
55.6%60.4%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2220
3-Point Field Goals Made
98
3-Point Field Goals %
40.9%40%
Free Throws Attempted
2114
Free Throws Made
188
Free Throws %
85.7%57.1%
Offensive Rebounds
79
Defensive Rebounds
2623
Total Rebounds
3332
Assists
1714
Blocks
03
Turnovers
137
Steals
48
Personal Fouls
1721

Chances of winning


LWD Basket
47%
Leiden
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • LWD Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that LWD Basket's form might have worsened.
  • Leiden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leiden's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for LWD Basket than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for LWD Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leiden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • LWD Basket - Leiden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.73)

    1.75
    (1.97)
    8%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 164.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for LWD Basket - Leiden?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leeuwarden (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 81:83.
  • Preview Facts
    • Series tied 2-2. 5th leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeuwarden won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Leeuwarden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leeuwarden won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1533:1705. (average 76.7:85.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leeuwarden won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 711:733. (average 79:81.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between LWD Basket - Leiden were as follows:
    26.05.2025 Leiden - LWD Basket 82:84
    24.05.2025 LWD Basket - Leiden 89:81
    22.05.2025 Leiden - LWD Basket 89:67
    20.05.2025 LWD Basket - Leiden 80:90
    30.04.2025 Leiden - LWD Basket 83:88
    Latest results of LWD Basket
    26.05.2025 Leiden - LWD Basket 82:84
    24.05.2025 LWD Basket - Leiden 89:81
    22.05.2025 Leiden - LWD Basket 89:67
    20.05.2025 LWD Basket - Leiden 80:90
    10.05.2025 LWD Basket - Okapi Aalstar 99:88
    Latest results of Leiden
    26.05.2025 Leiden - LWD Basket 82:84
    24.05.2025 LWD Basket - Leiden 89:81
    22.05.2025 Leiden - LWD Basket 89:67
    20.05.2025 LWD Basket - Leiden 80:90
    15.05.2025 Landstede - Leiden 81:83
    Draw
    2024/25

    Quarter-finals
    1Den BoschBye
    2Donar GroningenDen Helder2 : 0
    3LWD BasketBye
    4LeidenZwolle2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Den BoschDonar Groningen3 : 0
    2LWD BasketLeiden2 : 3

    Final
    1Den BoschLeiden3 : 0