Donar Groningen vs Leiden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
75:65
04/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BNXT League - Round 27

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6760
Field goals made
2722
Field goals %
40.3%36.67%
2-point field goals attempts
3232
2-point field goals made
1813
2-point field goals %
56.25%40.63%
3-point field goals attempts
3528
3-point field goals made
99
3-point field goals %
25.71%32.14%
Free throws attempts
1716
Free throws made
912
Free throws %
52.9%75%
Offensive rebounds
1811
Defensive rebounds
2724
Total rebounds
4535
Assists
1512
Blocks
01
Turnovers
1714
Steals
910
Personal fouls
1820

Chances of winning


Donar Groningen
54.3%
Leiden
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Donar Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Leiden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donar Groningen than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Donar Groningen - Leiden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.62)

    2.03
    (2.11)
    7.9%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 168.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Groningen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1398:1540. (average 69.9:77).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 659:747. (average 65.9:74.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Donar Groningen - Leiden were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Leiden - Donar Groningen 101:72
    20.04.2025 Leiden - Donar Groningen 79:81
    21.03.2025 Donar Groningen - Leiden 77:69
    12.03.2025 Donar Groningen - Leiden 65:74
    28.11.2023 Donar Groningen - Leiden 70:72
    Latest results of Donar Groningen
    Latest results of Leiden
    01.04.2026 Leiden - Spirou Charleroi 87:81
    27.03.2026 Limburg United - Leiden 89:61
    15.03.2026 Leiden - Kangoeroes Mechelen 59:75
    13.03.2026 Kangoeroes Mechelen - Leiden 68:78
    07.03.2026 Leiden - Landstede 86:92
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    2025/26
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    8Donar Groningen2414101996:20250.583
    9Brussels Basketball2715122291:22040.556
    10Leiden2715122263:21690.556
    11Spirou Charleroi2512132075:21370.480
    12Leuven Bears2712152187:21920.444
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