Leuven Bears vs Leiden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
90:73
14/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BNXT League - Round 19

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6665
Field goals made
3626
Field goals %
54.55%40%
2-point field goals attempts
4637
2-point field goals made
2717
2-point field goals %
58.7%45.95%
3-point field goals attempts
2028
3-point field goals made
99
3-point field goals %
45%32.14%
Free throws attempts
1618
Free throws made
912
Free throws %
56.3%66.7%
Offensive rebounds
1214
Defensive rebounds
2820
Total rebounds
4034
Assists
2021
Blocks
30
Turnovers
1520
Steals
1011
Personal fouls
1719

Chances of winning


Leuven Bears
68.4%
Leiden
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leuven Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leuven Bears's performance.
  • Leiden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leiden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leuven Bears than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leuven Bears that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leiden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leuven Bears - Leiden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.47)

    2.94
    (2.34)
    7.8%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 159.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven Bears won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Leuven Bears may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Leuven Bears might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Leuven Bears will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leuven Bears won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 540:532. (average 77.1:76).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leuven Bears won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 266:188. (average 88.7:62.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leuven Bears - Leiden were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Leiden - Leuven Bears 90:72
    29.03.2025 Leuven Bears - Leiden 98:63
    28.09.2024 Leiden - Leuven Bears 78:77
    Latest results of Leuven Bears
    24.01.2026 Leuven Bears - Limburg United 90:89
    18.01.2026 Brussels - Leuven Bears 82:70
    10.01.2026 Leuven Bears - BAL Weert 91:64
    Latest results of Leiden
    31.01.2026 Leiden - BAL Weert 80:65
    23.01.2026 Rotterdam City - Leiden 73:75
    17.01.2026 Oostende - Leiden 76:61
    10.01.2026 Leiden - Limburg United 75:77
    04.01.2026 Landstede - Leiden 101:67
    BNXT League Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Antwerp Giants201731924:15420.850
    2Oostende211651857:16940.762
    3Okapi Aalst211561991:18270.714
    4Kortrijk211471846:16890.667
    5Den Bosch201371744:16510.650
    6Leiden211381825:16890.619
    7Mechelen211381640:16740.619
    8Limburg211291888:16890.571
    9Donar Groningen181081477:15040.556
    10Brussels Basketball2111101786:17280.524
    11Leuven Bears2111101696:16550.524
    12Spirou Charleroi198111587:16920.421
    13Belfius Mons218131787:19220.381
    14Den Helder206141598:17260.300
    15LWD Basket206141699:18980.300
    16Zwolle216151655:17610.286
    17Rotterdam203171552:18240.150
    18BAL Weert212191457:18440.095