Result
14:16
12/01/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, France 2 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 World | FloSports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (6 - 10)
- 4', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 11', Prendergast S. (Penalty Goal),
- 26', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 30', McCarthy J. (Try),
- 31', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (8 - 6)
- 51', Prendergast S. (Penalty Goal),
- 55', Prendergast S. (Penalty Goal),
- 60', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 66', Leyds D. (Try),
Chances of winning
La Rochelle
28.4% | Draw
4.1% | Leinster
67.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Rochelle's form might have worsened.Leinster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leinster's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Rochelle than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Rochelle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leinster than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leinster, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
La Rochelle - Leinster Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(2.65) |
22.5 ↑
(19.7) |
1.37 ↓
(1.53) |
8.2%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 46.50The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
What is the prediction for La Rochelle - Leinster?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Leinster will win (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 19:27.
Preview Facts
- La Rochelle is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Leinster is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- La Rochelle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Leinster is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches La Rochelle won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 105:126 (average 21:25.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams La Rochelle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 41:39 (average 20.5:19.5).
How many head-to-head matches has La Rochelle won against Leinster?
La Rochelle has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leinster won against La Rochelle?
Leinster has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between La Rochelle - Leinster were as follows:
13.04.2024
Leinster
-
La Rochelle
40:13
10.12.2023
La Rochelle
-
Leinster
9:16
20.05.2023
Leinster
-
La Rochelle
26:27
Latest results of La Rochelle
Latest results of Leinster
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Leinster | Harlequins | 62 : 0 |
| 2 | Glasgow Warriors | Leicester Tigers | 43 : 19 |
| 3 | Northampton Saints | Clermont | 46 : 24 |
| 4 | Castres Olympique | Benetton | 39 : 37 |
| 5 | Bordeaux Begles | Ulster | 43 : 31 |
| 6 | Stade Rochelais | Munster | 24 : 25 |
| 7 | RC Toulonnais | Saracens | 72 : 42 |
| 8 | Stade Toulousain | Sale Sharks | 38 : 15 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Leinster | Glasgow Warriors | 52 : 0 |
| 2 | Northampton Saints | Castres Olympique | 51 : 16 |
| 3 | Bordeaux Begles | Munster | 47 : 29 |
| 4 | RC Toulonnais | Stade Toulousain | 18 : 21 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Leinster | Northampton Saints | 34 : 37 |
| 2 | Bordeaux Begles | Stade Toulousain | 35 : 18 |
Final| 1 | Northampton Saints | Bordeaux Begles | 20 : 28 |
