Leinster vs La Rochelle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
25:24
10/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby, SuperSport Variety 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
portugalPortugalSport TV5
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player

Match Stats

Tries
43
Conversion Goals
13
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
11
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (12 - 7)
  • 3', Kenny J. (Try),
  • 9', Kenny J. (Try),
  • 10', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 13', O'Brien T. 🟨,
  • 29', Niniashvili D. (Try),
  • 30', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 37', McCarthy J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (13 - 17)
  • 55', Le Garrec N. (Penalty Goal),
  • 58', West I. (Try),
  • 59', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 66', van der Flier J. (Try),
  • 69', Henshaw R. (Try),
  • 76', West I. (Try),
  • 78', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80+3', Byrne H. (Penalty Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leinster
77.9%
Draw
3%
La Rochelle
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
88.2% 2.1% 9.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leinster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leinster's form might have worsened.
  • La Rochelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Rochelle's recent form is better than expected.
  • Leinster - La Rochelle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.19
    (1.04)
    31.33
    (44)
    5.33
    (9.53)
    6.2%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
    What is the prediction for Leinster - La Rochelle?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Leinster will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 32:21.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 3.
    • Leinster is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • La Rochelle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Leinster is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 142:119. (average 23.7:19.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leinster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 87:64. (average 29:21.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leinster - La Rochelle were as follows:
    12.01.2025 La Rochelle - Leinster 14:16
    13.04.2024 Leinster - La Rochelle 40:13
    10.12.2023 La Rochelle - Leinster 9:16
    20.05.2023 Leinster - La Rochelle 26:27
    Latest results of Leinster
    03.01.2026 Leinster - Connacht 52:17
    27.12.2025 Munster - Leinster 8:13
    19.12.2025 Leinster - Ulster 24:20
    12.12.2025 Leicester Tigers - Leinster 15:23
    06.12.2025 Leinster - Harlequins 52:21
    Latest results of La Rochelle
    04.01.2026 La Rochelle - Toulon 66:0
    28.12.2025 Toulouse - La Rochelle 60:14
    13.12.2025 Stormers - La Rochelle 42:21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesLeicester Tigers64 : 14
    2Stade ToulousainBristol59 : 26
    3BathSaracens31 : 22
    4Northampton SaintsCastres Olympique49 : 41
    5LeinsterEdinburgh49 : 31
    6HarlequinsSale Sharks17 : 26
    7Glasgow WarriorsBulls25 : 21
    8RC ToulonnaisStormers28 : 27

    Quarter-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesStade Toulousain30 : 15
    2BathNorthampton Saints43 : 41
    3LeinsterSale Sharks43 : 13
    4Glasgow WarriorsRC Toulonnais19 : 22

    Semi-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesBath
    2LeinsterRC Toulonnais

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2