Leinster vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union European Rugby Champions Cup Leinster - Toulouse
Result
22:31 OT
25/05/2024 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports, France 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 3
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Match Stats

Tries
11
Conversion Goals
11
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
58
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 9)
  • 5', Kinghorn B. (Penalty Goal),
  • 8', Kinghorn B. (Penalty Goal),
  • 19', Byrne R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 37', Kinghorn B. (Penalty Goal),
  • 40+4', Byrne R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (9 - 6)
  • 47', Byrne R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 57', Kinghorn B. (Penalty Goal),
  • 66', Byrne R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 70', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 78', Frawley C. (Penalty Goal),
  • Extra Time (7 - 16)
  • 85', Lebel M. (Try),
  • 85', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 90', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 92', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 93', van der Flier J. (Try),
  • 95', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 97', Frawley C. (Conversion Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leinster
50.4%
Draw
4.7%
Toulouse
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 5% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 4.8% 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leinster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leinster than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Leinster - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.82)
    19.8
    (18.33)
    2.05
    (2.08)
    8.5%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 50.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Leinster - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leinster will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Toulouse will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 26:26.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Leinster is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Toulouse is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leinster won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 167-92.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leinster won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 140-64.
    Latest results of Leinster
    18.05.2024 Ulster - Leinster 23:21
    11.05.2024 Leinster - Ospreys 61:14
    04.05.2024 Leinster - Northampton Saints 20:17
    27.04.2024 Stormers - Leinster 42:12
    20.04.2024 Lions - Leinster 44:12
    Latest results of Toulouse
    18.05.2024 Montpellier - Toulouse 22:29
    12.05.2024 Toulouse - Stade Français 49:18
    05.05.2024 Toulouse - Harlequins 38:26
    27.04.2024 Toulouse - Racing Métro 32:12
    20.04.2024 Toulon - Toulouse 20:19
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1LeinsterHarlequins62 : 0
    2Glasgow WarriorsLeicester Tigers43 : 19
    3Northampton SaintsClermont46 : 24
    4Castres OlympiqueBenetton39 : 37
    5Bordeaux BeglesUlster43 : 31
    6Stade RochelaisMunster24 : 25
    7RC ToulonnaisSaracens72 : 42
    8Stade ToulousainSale Sharks38 : 15

    Quarter-finals
    1LeinsterGlasgow Warriors52 : 0
    2Northampton SaintsCastres Olympique51 : 16
    3Bordeaux BeglesMunster47 : 29
    4RC ToulonnaisStade Toulousain18 : 21

    Semi-finals
    1LeinsterNorthampton Saints34 : 37
    2Bordeaux BeglesStade Toulousain35 : 18

    Final
    1Northampton SaintsBordeaux Begles20 : 28