Leiria vs Belenenses – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Leiria - Belenenses
Result
4:2
17/02/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 22
  • Referee: Rosa D. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leiria
59.1%
Draw
24.5%
Belenenses
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 24.3% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 17.7% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-16.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leiria that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belenenses could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leiria - Belenenses Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.61)
    3.8
    (3.89)
    5.6
    (5.56)
    7.8%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Leiria - Belenenses?
  • Users Predictions: Leiria will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are in bad shape now.
    • Belenenses could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Leiria is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Leiria won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leiria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Belenenses were as follows:
    17.09.2023 Belenenses - Leiria 0:5
    20.05.2023 Leiria - Belenenses 1:0
    29.01.2023 Belenenses - Leiria 1:2
    09.10.2022 Leiria - Belenenses 2:4
    Latest results of Leiria
    11.02.2024 AVS - Leiria 2:1
    07.02.2024 Leiria - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    03.02.2024 Leiria - Porto B 1:1
    29.01.2024 Benfica B - Leiria 0:1
    14.01.2024 Leiria - Santa Clara 0:1
    Latest results of Belenenses
    11.02.2024 Belenenses - Tondela 0:0
    02.02.2024 Mafra - Belenenses 1:1
    28.01.2024 Porto B - Belenenses 3:0
    20.01.2024 Belenenses - AVS 1:3
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

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