Result
3:1
08/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 21
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sporting TV, Sport TV2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Simoes A. 🟨,
- 11', 0 - 1, Martins D. ⚽,
- 16', Mendes J. ↓, Pires M. ↑,
- 19', Ze Pedro 🟨,
- 30', Ze Pedro 🟨,
- 34', Fernandez P. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 40', 1 - 1, Vazquez J. ⚽, Simoes A. (A),
- 42', Kouassi E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Simoes A. ↓, Quintero L. ↑,
- 46', Kouassi E. ↓, Jair da Silva ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Drammeh M. ⚽, Leo Silva (A),
- 70', Munoz J. ↓, Michel D. ↑,
- 70', van der Gaag J. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 74', Pozo M. ↓, Alfaro A. ↑,
- 74', Drammeh M. ↓, Zohi K. ↑,
- 75', Marcelo 🟨,
- 79', Lucho Vega 🟨,
- 89', Alfaro A. 🟨,
- 90', Guilherme Liberato ↓, Casas A. ↑,
- 90', Jean D. ↓, Seydi I. ↑,
- 90+3', Michel D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Rodriguez G. 🟥,
- 90+7', 3 - 1, Mohamed D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Torreense
39.7% | Draw
30.4% | Leiria
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Torreense - Leiria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.45) |
3.04 ↑
(2.63) |
3.13 ↓
(3.54) |
7.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Torreense - Leiria?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Leiria will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torreense: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Torreense (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Leiria (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Torreense (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Leiria (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 3.
- Torreense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leiria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Leiria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Torreense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Torreense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Torreense won against Leiria?
Torreense has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Torreense?
Leiria has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Torreense - Leiria were as follows:
11.01.2026
Torreense
-
Leiria
3:1
29.08.2025
Leiria
-
Torreense
1:0
06.04.2025
Leiria
-
Torreense
1:3
10.11.2024
Torreense
-
Leiria
2:1
03.08.2024
Torreense
-
Leiria
0:0
Latest results of Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
