Leixões vs Marítimo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
21/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 15
  • Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
108
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
25
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
2022
Throw-ins
2523
Fouls
1619

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Gomes Aguiar F. T. , Carlos Daniel (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Rochez B. , Simaozinho (A),
  • 11', 1 - 2, Carlos Daniel , Gomes Aguiar F. T. (A),
  • 17', Evrard Zag , Neto ,
  • 31', 1 - 3, Tejon M. ,
  • 35', Neto 🟨,
  • 37', Igor Juliao 🟨,
  • 42', Balde A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Madsen N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Paulite 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 4, Rochez B. (Own goal),
  • 65', Paulite , Agra S. ,
  • 65', Paulinho , Kanuric B. ,
  • 65', Cruz M. , Ibrahima ,
  • 73', Igor Juliao , Andrade R. ,
  • 74', Gomes Aguiar F. T. , Pena Zauner E. ,
  • 83', Balde A. , Rajani M. ,
  • 83', Rochez B. , Valente R. ,
  • 84', Raphael Guzzo , Tavares M. ,
  • 85', Tejon M. , Elis A. ,
  • 86', Naldo 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leixões
24.6%
Draw
27.8%
Marítimo
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 28.5% 43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 27.5% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Leixões - Marítimo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.74
    (3.25)
    3.35
    (3.25)
    1.97
    (2.14)
    7.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leixões - Marítimo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Marítimo will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marítimo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1.
    • Recent form of Leixões has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Marítimo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Marítimo has had a series of home games.
    • Marítimo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Marítimo were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Marítimo - Leixões 1:1
    10.11.2024 Leixões - Marítimo 2:1
    30.03.2024 Marítimo - Leixões 0:0
    12.11.2023 Leixões - Marítimo 0:1
    Latest results of Leixões
    14.12.2025 Portimonense - Leixões 1:2
    06.12.2025 Leixões - Porto B 2:4
    29.11.2025 Oliveirense - Leixões 2:0
    23.11.2025 Vila Meã - Leixões 2:1
    16.11.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:1
    Latest results of Marítimo
    16.12.2025 Marítimo - Benfica B 1:1
    06.12.2025 Marítimo - Torreense 2:0
    30.11.2025 Portimonense - Marítimo 0:2
    23.11.2025 Marítimo - Penafiel 2:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo27175543:212256
    2Academico Viseu27155750:282250
    3Torreense271431035:27845
    4Vizela27128736:31544
    5Leiria26118741:34741
    6Sporting CP B271321239:261341
    7FC Porto B271151133:35-238
    8Lusitania FC271071037:44-737
    9Benfica B27910837:32537
    10Chaves271061129:26336
    11Feirense27981030:32-235
    12Leixoes271041332:49-1734
    13Felgueiras27791124:34-1030
    14Pacos Ferreira26791026:37-1130
    15Penafiel27781222:26-429
    16SC Farense27781223:33-1029
    17Portimonense27761429:40-1127
    18Oliveirense27691226:37-1127

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3