Leixões vs Marítimo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
21/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 15
  • Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
108
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
25
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
2022
Throw-ins
2523
Fouls
1619

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Gomes Aguiar F. T. , Carlos Daniel (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Rochez B. , Simaozinho (A),
  • 11', 1 - 2, Carlos Daniel , Gomes Aguiar F. T. (A),
  • 17', Evrard Zag , Neto ,
  • 31', 1 - 3, Tejon M. ,
  • 35', Neto 🟨,
  • 37', Igor Juliao 🟨,
  • 42', Balde A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Madsen N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Paulite 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 4, Rochez B. (Own goal),
  • 65', Paulite , Agra S. ,
  • 65', Paulinho , Kanuric B. ,
  • 65', Cruz M. , Ibrahima ,
  • 73', Igor Juliao , Andrade R. ,
  • 74', Gomes Aguiar F. T. , Pena Zauner E. ,
  • 83', Balde A. , Rajani M. ,
  • 83', Rochez B. , Valente R. ,
  • 84', Raphael Guzzo , Tavares M. ,
  • 85', Tejon M. , Elis A. ,
  • 86', Naldo 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leixões
24.6%
Draw
27.8%
Marítimo
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 28.5% 43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 27.5% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Leixões - Marítimo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.74
    (3.25)
    3.35
    (3.25)
    1.97
    (2.14)
    7.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leixões - Marítimo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Marítimo will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marítimo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1.
    • Recent form of Leixões has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Marítimo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Marítimo has had a series of home games.
    • Marítimo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Marítimo were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Marítimo - Leixões 1:1
    10.11.2024 Leixões - Marítimo 2:1
    30.03.2024 Marítimo - Leixões 0:0
    12.11.2023 Leixões - Marítimo 0:1
    Latest results of Leixões
    14.12.2025 Portimonense - Leixões 1:2
    06.12.2025 Leixões - Porto B 2:4
    29.11.2025 Oliveirense - Leixões 2:0
    23.11.2025 Vila Meã - Leixões 2:1
    16.11.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:1
    Latest results of Marítimo
    16.12.2025 Marítimo - Benfica B 1:1
    06.12.2025 Marítimo - Torreense 2:0
    30.11.2025 Portimonense - Marítimo 0:2
    23.11.2025 Marítimo - Penafiel 2:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo29186544:212360
    2Academico Viseu29155953:332050
    3Torreense291441136:30646
    4Leiria291210745:36946
    5Vizela29128937:34344
    6Benfica B291011841:35641
    7Sporting CP B291321441:301141
    8FC Porto B281251136:35141
    9Feirense291181032:32041
    10Chaves291161231:29239
    11Lusitania FC281081037:44-738
    12Leixoes291151335:50-1538
    13Penafiel29981228:30-235
    14Felgueiras298101125:34-934
    15SC Farense29881325:35-1032
    16Pacos Ferreira297111126:39-1332
    17Portimonense29861531:42-1130
    18Oliveirense29691427:41-1427

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3