Result
1:4
21/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 15
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 3', 0 - 1, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ⚽, Carlos Daniel (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Rochez B. ⚽, Simaozinho (A),
- 11', 1 - 2, Carlos Daniel ⚽, Gomes Aguiar F. T. (A),
- 17', Evrard Zag ↓, Neto ↑,
- 31', 1 - 3, Tejon M. ⚽,
- 35', Neto 🟨,
- 37', Igor Juliao 🟨,
- 42', Balde A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Madsen N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Paulite 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 4, Rochez B. (Own goal),
- 65', Paulite ↓, Agra S. ↑,
- 65', Paulinho ↓, Kanuric B. ↑,
- 65', Cruz M. ↓, Ibrahima ↑,
- 73', Igor Juliao ↓, Andrade R. ↑,
- 74', Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↓, Pena Zauner E. ↑,
- 83', Balde A. ↓, Rajani M. ↑,
- 83', Rochez B. ↓, Valente R. ↑,
- 84', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
- 85', Tejon M. ↓, Elis A. ↑,
- 86', Naldo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leixões 24.6% | Draw 27.8% | Marítimo 47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-3%)
Leixões - Marítimo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.74 ↑ (3.25) |
3.35 ↑ (3.25) |
1.97 ↓ (2.14) |
7.5% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leixões - Marítimo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Marítimo will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marítimo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1.
- Recent form of Leixões has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Marítimo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Marítimo has had a series of home games.
- Marítimo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Marítimo?
Leixões has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Leixões?
Marítimo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Marítimo were as follows:
05.04.2025
Marítimo
-
Leixões
1:1
10.11.2024
Leixões
-
Marítimo
2:1
30.03.2024
Marítimo
-
Leixões
0:0
12.11.2023
Leixões
-
Marítimo
0:1
Latest results of Leixões
Latest results of Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Vizela | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Porto B | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 9 | Feirense | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaves | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Lusitania FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 38 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3