Comercial SP vs Lemense FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 75', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Comercial SP
28.9%
Draw
29.4%
Lemense FC
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 29.8% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 29.1% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Lemense FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lemense FC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Comercial SP - Lemense FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (2.98)
    3.06
    (3.05)
    2.16
    (2.29)
    11.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent form of Comercial SP has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lemense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Comercial SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Comercial SP - Lemense FC were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Lemense FC - Comercial SP 0:0
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Latest results of Lemense FC
    25.02.2026 Nacional SP - Lemense FC 0:1
    21.02.2026 Lemense FC - Taquaritinga 4:1
    11.02.2026 Araçatuba - Lemense FC 0:2
    07.02.2026 Lemense FC - Barretos 0:1
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Bebedouro751112:4816
    2Lemense751110:3716
    3Penapolense751110:6416
    4Sao-Carlense743012:6615
    5Barretos EC74306:2415
    6Jacarei FC74126:5113
    7Sao Caetano73228:5311
    8Taquaritinga73137:6110
    9Tanabi72326:429
    10ECUS SP71514:408
    11Vocem70521:3-25
    12Comercial71155:9-44
    13Jabaquara71151:8-74
    14AEA Aracatuba71153:13-104
    15Colorado Caieiras70432:6-44
    16Nacional SP70160:9-91

          Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista B