Result
1:3
20/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 30
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 7, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | DAZN 2, DAZN 3, DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
India | GXR World |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 8 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 2.53 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
83% (317/384) | 87% (428/491) |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 2.53 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.56 | 3.11 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 30 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
83% (317/384) | 87% (428/491) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (27/56) | 56% (31/55) |
Passes in final third |
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60% (53/88) | 78% (94/120) |
Crosses |
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27% (6/22) | 38% (6/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.89 | 0.86 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (10/16) | 40% (4/10) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 40 |
Clearances Total |
---|
20 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.11 | 1.56 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.53 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 1 - 0, Lees-Melou P. ⚽, Pereira Lage M. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Koyalipou G. ⚽, Zaroury A. (A),
- 36', Sotoca F. ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,
- 45+5', Ndiaye A. 🟥,
- 45+7', 1 - 2, El Aynaoui N. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sima A. ↓, Le Cardinal J. ↑,
- 66', Ajorque L. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
- 66', Magnetti H. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
- 79', Camara M. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
- 86', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Faivre R. ↑,
- 90', Koyalipou G. ↓, Said W. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Said W. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
- 90+3', Aguilar R. ↓, Pouilly T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brest 39.3% | Draw 28.9% | Lens 31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Brest - Lens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.42 ↓ (2.46) |
3.29 ↓ (3.41) |
2.99 ↑ (2.85) |
5.2% (5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS 3
What is the prediction for Brest - Lens?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Lens will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 57.6% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brest will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Brest won 1.
- Brest is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Lens is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Lens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Brest: Bourgault J.
(Foot Injury)
Coulibaly S.
(Injury)
Lala K.
(Yellow Cards)
Locko B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Salah I.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Lens: Juma Bah A.
(Injury)
Labeau Lascary R.
(Knee Injury)
Machado D.
(Yellow Cards)
Petric D.
(Back Injury)
Satriano M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Brest: Ajorque L.
(Injury)
Faivre R.
(Knee Injury)
Fernandes E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lens: Jhoanner Chavez
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Brest won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28:26 (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Brest won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:12 (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Lens?
Brest has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Brest?
Lens has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Lens were as follows:
25.08.2024
Lens
-
Brest
2:0
09.03.2024
Lens
-
Brest
1:0
13.08.2023
Brest
-
Lens
3:2
05.02.2023
Brest
-
Lens
1:1
22.01.2023
Brest
-
Lens
1:3
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2