Result
3:1
29/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 3
- Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (494/578) | 73% (208/284) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.05 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 55 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (494/578) | 73% (208/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (148/186) | 60% (49/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 4.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Balde M. ⚽, Doumbia K. (A),
- 45', Ajorque L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Machado D. ↓, Baidoo S. ↑,
- 48', Magnetti H. 🟨,
- 55', Majecki R. 🟥,
- 57', Lala K. 🟨,
- 59', Del Castillo R. ↓, Coudert G. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Thauvin F. (Pen),
- 69', Aguilar R. 🟨,
- 75', Doumbia K. ↓, Bourgault J. ↑,
- 75', Balde M. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
- 75', Fofana R. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
- 76', Thauvin F. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,
- 76', Aguilar R. ↓, Abdulhamid S. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Guilavogui M. ⚽,
- 86', Chotard J. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
- 86', Locko B. ↓, Le Guen R. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Thomasson A. ⚽, Abdulhamid S. (A),
- 90+3', Said W. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lens
43.4% | Draw
28% | Brest
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lens's form might have worsened.Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Lens - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(1.96) |
3.57 ↓
(3.66) |
3.46 ↓
(3.73) |
-1%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lens - Brest?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Lens (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Brest (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Brest (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lens will win
(35 of 42 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.06% – 94.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Lens (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Brest (votes: 4 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Lens might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Lens: Jhoanner Chavez
(Ankle Injury)
Satriano M.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lens won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Brest?
Lens has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Lens?
Brest has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Brest were as follows:
20.04.2025
Brest
-
Lens
1:3
25.08.2024
Lens
-
Brest
2:0
09.03.2024
Lens
-
Brest
1:0
13.08.2023
Brest
-
Lens
3:2
05.02.2023
Brest
-
Lens
1:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52:19 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Lens | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Lyon | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | Rennes | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:40 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
