Brest vs Lens: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1
Soccer French Ligue 1 Brest - Lens
Result
1:3
20/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 30
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
Brest - Lens - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.752.53
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
83% (317/384)87% (428/491)
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.752.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.563.11
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
714
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1730
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
83% (317/384)87% (428/491)
Long passes
48% (27/56)56% (31/55)
Passes in final third
60% (53/88)78% (94/120)
Crosses
27% (6/22)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.86
Fouls
1111
Tackles
63% (10/16)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4740
Clearances Total
2029
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
3.111.56
Goals prevented
-0.530.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Lees-Melou P. ⚽, Pereira Lage M. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Koyalipou G. ⚽, Zaroury A. (A),
  • 36', Sotoca F. ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,
  • 45+5', Ndiaye A. 🟥,
  • 45+7', 1 - 2, El Aynaoui N. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sima A. ↓, Le Cardinal J. ↑,
  • 66', Ajorque L. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
  • 66', Magnetti H. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
  • 79', Camara M. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
  • 86', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Faivre R. ↑,
  • 90', Koyalipou G. ↓, Said W. ↑,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Said W. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
  • 90+3', Aguilar R. ↓, Pouilly T. ↑,

Chances of winning


Brest
39.3%		Draw
28.9%		Lens
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 27.9% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 28.5% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
    •

    Brest - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.42 ↓
    (2.46)    		 3.29 ↓
    (3.41)    		 2.99 ↑
    (2.85)    		 5.2%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS 3
    •
    What is the prediction for Brest - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Lens will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 57.6% – 90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brest will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Brest won 1.
    • Brest is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Lens is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Lens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Brest: Bourgault J. (Foot Injury) Coulibaly S. (Injury) Lala K. (Yellow Cards) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Salah I. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Lens: Juma Bah A. (Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Machado D. (Yellow Cards) Petric D. (Back Injury) Satriano M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brest: Ajorque L. (Injury) Faivre R. (Knee Injury) Fernandes E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lens: Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Brest won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28:26 (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Brest won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:12 (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Lens were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Lens - Brest 2:0
    09.03.2024 Lens - Brest 1:0
    13.08.2023 Brest - Lens 3:2
    05.02.2023 Brest - Lens 1:1
    22.01.2023 Brest - Lens 1:3
    Latest results of Brest
    13.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Brest 3:3 ✺
    05.04.2025 Brest - Monaco 2:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:4 ✺
    09.03.2025 Brest - Angers 2:0 ✺
    02.03.2025 Lyon - Brest 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lens
    11.04.2025 Lens - Reims 0:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Lens - Saint-Étienne 1:0 ✺
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Lens - Rennes 1:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lens 0:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Brest - Lens?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFranceDAZN 2, DAZN 3, DAZN France
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2, Arena Sport 8
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainbeIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    worldWorldDisney+
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