Lens vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premiere Ligue Women - Round 11
  • Referee: Kocher A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDAZN App
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN App
franceFranceCANAL+ France, CStar
peruPeruDAZN App
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN App
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.64
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
76% (347/454)63% (177/283)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.950.59
Total shots
107
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
149
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
126
Passes
76% (347/454)63% (177/283)
Long passes
42% (39/93)20% (12/61)
Passes in final third
67% (102/152)38% (22/58)
Crosses
13% (2/16)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.39
Throw-ins
3324
Fouls
612
Tackles
83% (10/12)88% (15/17)
Duels won
3734
Clearances
2139
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.591.95
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Gbedjissi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Enguehard R. , Kouache E. (A),
  • 57', Stievenart Z. , Nassi J. ,
  • 58', Gavory C. 🟨,
  • 64', Archier L. , El Koumir K. ,
  • 64', Pierre-Louis D. , David T. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Gbedjissi A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 72', 2 - 1, Jeudy S. , El Koumir K. (A),
  • 78', Lefevre E. , Kassi S. ,
  • 79', Roth M. , Mbakem-Niaro E. ,
  • 80', Gbedjissi A. , Vagre N. ,
  • 83', Gavory C. , Rossi F. ,
  • 83', Effa Effa C. , Adjabi I. ,
  • 90+2', Proniez F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kassi S. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Jeudy S. , Bertrand C. ,

Chances of winning


Lens
39.3%
Draw
26.9%
Le Havre
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 27.6% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 26.8% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lens's performance.
  • Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lens that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Le Havre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lens - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.7)
    3.38
    (3.28)
    2.69
    (2.33)
    9.9%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lens - Le Havre?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lens (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women and 8).
    • Lens has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Le Havre is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    Latest results of Lens
    13.12.2025 Dijon - Lens 1:1
    05.12.2025 Lens - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    21.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lens 2:0
    07.11.2025 Lens - Paris FC 1:2
    01.11.2025 Fleury 91 - Lens 4:0
    Latest results of Le Havre
    13.12.2025 Le Havre - Lyon 0:7
    06.12.2025 Paris FC - Le Havre 3:0
    22.11.2025 Le Havre - Dijon 0:1
    08.11.2025 Nantes - Le Havre 2:1
    French Division 1 Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon W ✔ 18171066:75952
    2Nantes W18113435:28736
    3Paris FC W18113434:122236
    4PSG W18112540:251535
    5Fleury 91 W1885522:15729
    6Dijon W1876517:21-427
    7Strasbourg W1874721:28-725
    8Le Havre W1845918:37-1917
    9Marseille W18441024:39-1516
    10Lens W18331216:41-2512
    11St Etienne W1823138:33-259
    12Montpellier W18231324:39-159

          Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lyon W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)