Leo Borg vs Jacob Fearnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
12/04/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
62%56%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (37/60)78% (31/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (19/37)59% (19/32)
Break Points Saved
79% (11/14)33% (1/3)
1st Return Points Won
30% (12/40)40% (24/60)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (13/32)49% (18/37)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)21% (3/14)
Winners
1140
Unforced Errors
3137
Net Points Won
58% (7/12)88% (7/8)
Service Points Won
57% (55/97)68% (49/72)
Return Points Won
32% (23/72)43% (42/97)
Total Points Won
46% (78/169)54% (91/169)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
75% (9/12)83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)25% (3/12)
Total Games Won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


Leo Borg
15.7%
Jacob Fearnley
84.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 74.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leo Borg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leo Borg's form might have worsened.
  • Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jacob Fearnley's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leo Borg than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leo Borg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jacob Fearnley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leo Borg - Jacob Fearnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.93
    (3.13)

    1.11
    (1.31)
    7.2%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Leo Borg - Jacob Fearnley?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Borg will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fearnley will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Borg is ranked ATP: 492. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 73.
    • Borg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Fearnley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Borg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Fearnley is absolute favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Leo Borg
    Latest results of Jacob Fearnley
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2