Leolia Jeanjean vs Lucrezia Stefanini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Austin - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
51%80%
1st serve points won
67% (38/57)73% (57/78)
2nd serve points won
55% (30/55)35% (7/20)
Break Points Saved
6/1110/12
1st return points won
27% (21/78)33% (19/57)
2nd return points won
65% (13/20)45% (25/55)
Break Points Converted
2/125/11
Service Points Won
59% (63/107)65% (64/98)
Return Points Won
35% (34/98)41% (44/107)
Total Points Won
47% (97/205)53% (108/205)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
10
Service games won
69% (11/16)87% (13/15)
Return games won
13% (2/15)31% (5/16)
Total games won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Leolia Jeanjean
57.8%
Lucrezia Stefanini
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 49.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leolia Jeanjean has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leolia Jeanjean than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leolia Jeanjean that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucrezia Stefanini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leolia Jeanjean - Lucrezia Stefanini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.62)

    2.22
    (2.19)
    6.9%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Jeanjean is ranked WTA: 123. Stefanini is ranked WTA: 138.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Jeanjean may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Jeanjean will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jeanjean won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Leolia Jeanjean
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Navarro E. (1)Sun L.0 : 2
    2Badosa P. (WC)Ruse G.2 : 1
    3Stefanini L. (Q)Kraus S.0 : 2
    4Yuan Y.Selekhmeteva O. (7)0 : 2
    5Sierra S. (3)Andreescu B. (WC)1 : 2
    6Zarazua R.Blinkova A.2 : 1
    7Inglis M.Jones E. (Q)0 : 2
    8Vekic D.Marcinko P. (8)2 : 0
    9McNally C. (5)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 1
    10Galfi D.Tararudee L. (Q)0 : 2
    11Zakharova A. (Q)Golubic V.2 : 0
    12Fruhvirtova L.Haddad Maia B. (4)2 : 1
    13Birrell K. (6)Seidel E.2 : 0
    14Lamens S.Rakhimova K.1 : 2
    15Sakatsume H. (LL)Juvan K.0 : 2
    16Waltert S.Kessler M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sun L.Badosa P.0 : 2
    2Kraus S.Selekhmeteva O. (7)2 : 1
    3Andreescu B.Zarazua R.2 : 0
    4Jones E.Vekic D.2 : 0
    5McNally C. (5)Tararudee L.1 : 2
    6Zakharova A.Fruhvirtova L.2 : 0
    7Birrell K. (6)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    8Juvan K.Kessler M. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Badosa P.Kraus S.2 : 0
    2Andreescu B.Jones E.2 : 1
    3Tararudee L.Zakharova A.2 : 0
    4Birrell K. (6)Kessler M. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Badosa P.Andreescu B.1 : 2
    2Tararudee L.Birrell K. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Andreescu B.Tararudee L.1 : 2