Result
3:1
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Bigolin C. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Bonseri M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 87', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Leon
43.6% | Draw
28% | Breno
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leon's performance.Breno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leon than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breno than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Leon - Breno Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.32) |
3.25 ↑
(3) |
3.19 ↑
(2.82) |
10.2%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Leon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Leon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Leon won against Breno?
Leon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Breno won against Leon?
Breno has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leon - Breno were as follows:
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 46:20 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | AC Milan U23 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 46 |
| 3 | Chievo | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 40:37 | 3 | 46 |
| 4 | Leon | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Villa Valle | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 38:28 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Scanzorosciate | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Brusaporto | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Caldiero Terme | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 38:31 | 7 | 39 |
| 11 | Oltrepo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Castellanzese | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 14 | Breno | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Varesina | 28 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 16 | Pavia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26:55 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Vogherese ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 18:48 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vogherese is Relegated to
