Leon vs Breno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 20

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Bigolin C. ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Bonseri M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 66', 2 - 1, ,
  • 87', 3 - 1, ,
  • 90+1', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Leon
43.6%
Draw
28%
Breno
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 29.8% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 30.9% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leon's performance.
  • Breno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leon than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breno than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Leon - Breno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.32)
    3.25
    (3)
    3.19
    (2.82)
    10.2%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Leon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Leon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    Latest results of Leon
    04.01.2026 Leon - Milan Futuro 0:3
    21.12.2025 Leon - Casatese 0:0
    14.12.2025 Chievo - Leon 0:2
    07.12.2025 Leon - Scanzorosciate 0:0
    Latest results of Breno
    11.01.2026 Breno - Vogherese 2:1
    04.01.2026 Castellanzese - Breno 0:2
    21.12.2025 Villa Valle - Breno 4:0
    14.12.2025 Breno - Varesina 2:0
    07.12.2025 Brusaporto - Breno 3:2
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese341911458:273168
    2USD Casatese341613549:282161
    3Chievo341861052:43960
    4AC Milan U23341681062:372556
    5Leon341411944:341053
    6Brusaporto341561341:38351
    7Oltrepo341581138:36250
    8Scanzorosciate341114941:33847
    9Villa Valle341381343:46-347
    10Ciserano-Bergamo3411131033:31246
    11Caldiero Terme341015950:401045
    12Real Calepina341191442:47-542
    13Castellanzese3410111341:39241
    14Breno349111439:51-1238
    15Pavia349101536:47-1137
    16Varesina347151238:44-636
    17Sondrio34871937:64-2731
    18Vogherese34282421:80-59-17

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