Leon vs Varesina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 12

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Galimberti A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 66', 1 - 1, Pirola D. ,
  • 68', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Leon
36.2%
Draw
29.2%
Varesina
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 27.3% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 27.1% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leon than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Leon - Varesina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.43)
    3.1
    (3.35)
    2.62
    (2.61)
    10.2%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Leon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Leon
    09.11.2025 Vogherese - Leon 1:3
    02.11.2025 Leon - Brusaporto 0:1
    26.10.2025 Villa Valle - Leon 1:0
    19.10.2025 Leon - Real Calepina 2:0
    05.10.2025 Leon - Oltrepo 1:2
    Latest results of Varesina
    09.11.2025 Varesina - Casatese 0:0
    02.11.2025 Castellanzese - Varesina 2:1
    29.10.2025 Milan Futuro - Varesina 2:3
    26.10.2025 Varesina - Pavia 2:2
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese28169346:202657
    2AC Milan U2328137844:321246
    3Chievo281441040:37346
    4Leon28129737:28945
    5Villa Valle281351038:37144
    6USD Casatese281013538:281043
    7Scanzorosciate281012638:261242
    8Brusaporto281261033:29442
    9Ciserano-Bergamo281010824:23140
    10Caldiero Terme28912738:31739
    11Oltrepo281171029:30-137
    12Castellanzese28991035:30536
    13Real Calepina281061237:38-136
    14Breno28791232:42-1030
    15Varesina285131030:36-628
    16Pavia286101228:41-1328
    17Sondrio28651726:55-2923
    18Vogherese ✔ 28281818:48-308

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vogherese is Relegated to