Result
1:0
05/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 7
- Referee: Araujo G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Chile | Zapping Sports |
Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (326/393) | 76% (210/276) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (326/393) | 76% (210/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/68) | 41% (23/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (44/84) | 57% (43/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Reyes M. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 30', Solano C. ↓, Velez C. ↑,
- 39', Bedoya A. 🟨,
- 39', Perinciolo F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Morocho J. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 0, Pepinos E. ⚽, Mairongo J. (A),
- 59', Hernandez B. ↓, Castillo Saa J. L. ↑,
- 65', Griffa E. 🟨,
- 67', Heredia G. 🟥,
- 73', Cavallaro J. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
- 76', Mairongo J. 🟨,
- 77', Mairongo J. ↓, Arrieta S. ↑,
- 78', Griffa E. ↓, Cabeza J. ↑,
- 78', Aguas A. ↓, Borja R. ↑,
- 90', Portocarrero S. ↓, De La Cruz M. ↑,
- 90+7', Monserrat N. 🟥,
- 90+9', Burdisso M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leones del Norte 42.8% | Draw 32.1% | Delfín 25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Leones del Norte - Delfín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↓ (2.34) |
2.85 ↓ (2.89) |
3.72 ↑ (3.36) |
8.1% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte - Delfín?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Leones del Norte is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Delfín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Leones del Norte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Leones del Norte could have a small edge in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones del Norte won against Delfín?
Leones del Norte has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Leones del Norte?
Delfín has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones del Norte - Delfín were as follows:
Latest results of Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Tecnico U | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Macara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Libertad | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Aucas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Delfin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Leones del Norte | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Guayaquil City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Emelec | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Orense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Manta | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )