Leones Negros 2 vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/05/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Reserves - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Leones Negros 2
42.5%
Draw
27.7%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 27.6% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 29.2% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones Negros 2's form might have worsened.
  • Cimarrones de Sonora 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cimarrones de Sonora 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones Negros 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora 2 than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cimarrones de Sonora 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.85)
    3.29
    (3.35)
    3.06
    (4.14)
    9.6%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones Negros 2 won 1.
    • Leones Negros 2 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cimarrones de Sonora 2 is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Cimarrones de Sonora 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Cimarrones de Sonora 2 have a series of home games.
    • In this match Leones Negros 2 is a favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Leones Negros 2 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-25.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leones Negros 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora 2 were as follows:
    01.05.2024 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2 1:0
    19.04.2024 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2 3:0
    18.11.2023 Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora 2 0:0
    21.01.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2 4:1
    30.10.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2 0:2
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Alacranes de Durango ✔ 2016010354:1457
    2Cimarrones de Sonora2111160336:1543
    3Tigres de Alica2113020637:2043
    4Tecos2013020544:2843
    5Leones Negros 22112020734:2140
    6Tritones Vallarta2010200827:2436
    7Mineros de Fresnillo218132728:3332
    8Los Cabos2090101030:3129
    9Guerreros de Autlan207041832:3327
    10Ensenada FC2170201222:3925
    11UA Zacatecas1960301020:3422
    12Reboceros de La Piedad2050111326:4418
    13ACF Zapotlanejo2040101529:5714
    14Colima FC2020201616:429


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca ✔ 2115220240:1754
    2Santiago2010051426:1936
    3Zacatepec219070519:1035
    4Halcones218051735:2534
    5Correcaminos 2218060720:1532
    6Club Calor198061425:2231
    7Lobos ULMX218060725:1930
    8Matamoros208050722:1729
    9Cordobes FC216150923:2225
    10Chilpancingo216070827:3425
    11Zitacuaro214180818:2623
    12Canamy204071826:3421
    13Ciervos2131311316:3816
    14Atletico Hidalgo2031411121:4516


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz ✔ 1917020039:757
    2Celaya2011121538:2341
    3Deportiva Venados199141445:2137
    4Inter Playa Del Carmen209231529:2235
    5Chiapas199023530:2232
    6Montaneses198220726:2031
    7Pioneros198111827:2829
    8Tapachula1980011037:3128
    9Chapulineros194160818:2621
    10Heroes de Zaci186021921:3421
    11Neza FC1950201221:5019
    12Dragones Toluca2030301417:3813
    13Canoneros1822111213:3912

          Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Alacranes de Durango is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Apodaca is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Racing de Veracruz is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )