Leones Negros 2 vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora 2
Result
0:1
04/05/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Reserves - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Leones Negros 2
42.5%
Draw
27.7%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 27.6% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 29.2% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones Negros 2's form might have worsened.
  • Cimarrones de Sonora 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cimarrones de Sonora 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones Negros 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora 2 than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cimarrones de Sonora 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.85)
    3.29
    (3.35)
    3.06
    (4.14)
    9.6%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones Negros 2 won 1.
    • Leones Negros 2 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cimarrones de Sonora 2 is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Cimarrones de Sonora 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Cimarrones de Sonora 2 have a series of home games.
    • In this match Leones Negros 2 is a favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Leones Negros 2 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-25.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leones Negros 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora 2 were as follows:
    01.05.2024 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2 1:0
    19.04.2024 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2 3:0
    18.11.2023 Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora 2 0:0
    21.01.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2 4:1
    30.10.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Leones Negros 2 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1IrapuatoPeriban1 : 2, 1 : 1