Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Hi! Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Aguayo J. 🟥,
- 38', 1 - 0, Reyes F. ⚽,
- 40', Carrera J. N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fierro C. ↓, Camacho Lastra R. E. ↑,
- 46', Rivera E. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 46', Carrera J. N. ↓, Basulto L. ↑,
- 61', Tovar J. ↓, Cruz D. ↑,
- 61', Calzadilla L. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 61', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Madrigal K. ↑,
- 71', Valenzuela M. ↓, Brigido J. ↑,
- 71', Ibarra J. ↓, Wlk A. ↑,
- 72', Gonzalez S. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 88', Jimenez E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlante
55.6% | Draw
24.3% | Leones Negros UdeG
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Atlante - Leones Negros UdeG Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.62) |
3.91 ↓
(3.94) |
4.8 ↑
(4.74) |
7.3%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Atlante is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:15. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:4. (average 1.7:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Atlante has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Atlante?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 0 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlante - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
08.03.2025
Atlante
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:1
22.09.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlante
3:3
12.05.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlante
1:2
08.05.2024
Atlante
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:0
21.01.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlante
0:0
Latest results of Atlante
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
