Atlante vs Leones Negros UdeG – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Atlante - Leones Negros UdeG
20/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Atlante
52.5%
Draw
25.4%
Leones Negros UdeG
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 23.5% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 22.9% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Atlante - Leones Negros UdeG Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.62)
    3.64
    (3.94)
    4.19
    (4.74)
    8.2%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Atlante is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:15. (average 1.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:4. (average 1.7:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlante - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Atlante - Leones Negros UdeG 2:1
    22.09.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Atlante 3:3
    12.05.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Atlante 1:2
    08.05.2024 Atlante - Leones Negros UdeG 2:0
    21.01.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Atlante 0:0
    Latest results of Atlante
    06.09.2025 Atlante - Correcaminos UAT 5:1
    29.08.2025 Tapatío - Atlante 3:0
    23.08.2025 Atlante - Irapuato 4:0
    16.08.2025 Jaiba Brava - Atlante 3:2
    Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cancun651011:01116
    2Tampico Madero64209:5414
    3Tepatitlan de Morelos734012:4813
    4Atl. Morelia632111:10111
    5Irapuato732211:10111
    6Atlante631215:8710
    7Tapatio731311:8310
    8Leones Negros723212:1119
    9Zacatecas Mineros62318:719
    10Atletico La Paz622211:1108
    11Tlaxcala72236:12-68
    12Venados712412:18-65
    13Correcaminos71248:15-75
    14Dorados de Sinaloa71063:13-103
    15Alebrijes Oaxaca60158:16-81

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)