Atlético La Paz vs Leones Negros UdeG – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG
Result
3:1
28/03/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports Premium, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes 2, TVC Deportes
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
61
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Total shots
184
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
122
Corner Kicks
61
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Torres H. (Pen),
  • 35', Torres U. 🟥,
  • 35', Torres E. 🟨,
  • 39', Rivera E. , Flores L. ,
  • 40', Vazquez I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Hernandez D. , Ferrer J. ,
  • 46', Munoz D. , Flores B. ,
  • 54', Marchand J. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Zurita Jimenez U. ,
  • 65', Torres H. 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Jaimes U. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ,
  • 72', Vazquez I. , Zamudio J. ,
  • 77', Marchand J. , Perez J. ,
  • 77', Sanchez J. , Aguayo J. ,
  • 77', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 80', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
  • 80', Ferrer J. 🟨,
  • 83', Renteria R. , Acero I. ,
  • 83', Jaimes U. , Galindo A. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Gomez Del Rosal N. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético La Paz
32.1%
Draw
25.4%
Leones Negros UdeG
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 25.5% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 25.3% 49.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético La Paz's performance.
  • Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones Negros UdeG might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético La Paz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones Negros UdeG could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (3.6)
    3.67
    (3.6)
    2.19
    (1.87)
    7.3%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético La Paz won 2.
    • Atlético La Paz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Leones Negros UdeG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Leones Negros UdeG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Leones Negros UdeG is a favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Atlético La Paz won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.9:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético La Paz won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
    13.10.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Atlético La Paz 3:0
    05.05.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Atlético La Paz 3:1
    02.05.2024 Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG 1:1
    27.03.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Atlético La Paz 2:4
    22.08.2023 Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG 3:0
    Latest results of Atlético La Paz
    Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Irapuato11004:133
    2Tapatio11002:023
    3Tampico Madero11001:013
    4Cancun11001:013
    5Atlante10101:101
    6Atl. Morelia10101:101
    7Correcaminos10101:101
    8Tlaxcala10101:101
    9Zacatecas Mineros10101:101
    10Tepatitlan de Morelos10101:101
    11Alebrijes Oaxaca00000:000
    12Dorados de Sinaloa10010:1-10
    13Leones Negros10010:1-10
    14Atletico La Paz10010:2-20
    15Venados10011:4-30

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)