Result
3:0
04/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 7
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Cisneros C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Robles A. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
- 52', Cisneros C. 🟨,
- 59', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Villa O. ↑,
- 67', Hernandez S. A. ↓, Brigido J. ↑,
- 68', Perez J. ↓, Gil O. ↑,
- 69', Zurita Jimenez U. ↓, Vazquez S. ↑,
- 69', Vazquez I. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 0, Alaffita Garcia E. J. ⚽, Alvarez D. (A),
- 80', Gonzalez O. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 82', Vazquez S. 🟨,
- 83', Millan O. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 0, Jaimes U. ⚽, Renteria R. (A),
- 88', 3 - 0, Jaimes U. ⚽, Alaffita Garcia E. J. (A),
- 89', Illescas F. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético La Paz
41.1% | Draw
26.2% | Leones Negros UdeG
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.33) |
3.51 ↑
(3.43) |
2.81 ↑
(2.71) |
9%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 2.
- Atlético La Paz has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Leones Negros UdeG has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Atlético La Paz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Atlético La Paz has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 2.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Atlético La Paz has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Atlético La Paz?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
14.09.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlético La Paz
2:3
28.03.2025
Atlético La Paz
-
Leones Negros UdeG
3:1
13.10.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlético La Paz
3:0
05.05.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlético La Paz
3:1
02.05.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:1
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Morelia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tapatio | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlante | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Correcaminos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:23 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Venados | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
