Result
3:1
28/03/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports Premium, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes 2, TVC Deportes |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Torres H. (Pen),
- 35', Torres U. 🟥,
- 35', Torres E. 🟨,
- 39', Rivera E. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 40', Vazquez I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Hernandez D. ↓, Ferrer J. ↑,
- 46', Munoz D. ↓, Flores B. ↑,
- 54', Marchand J. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 0, Zurita Jimenez U. ⚽,
- 65', Torres H. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 0, Jaimes U. ⚽,
- 70', 2 - 1, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ⚽,
- 72', Vazquez I. ↓, Zamudio J. ↑,
- 77', Marchand J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 77', Sanchez J. ↓, Aguayo J. ↑,
- 77', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
- 80', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
- 80', Ferrer J. 🟨,
- 83', Renteria R. ↓, Acero I. ↑,
- 83', Jaimes U. ↓, Galindo A. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Gomez Del Rosal N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlético La Paz
32.1% | Draw
25.4% | Leones Negros UdeG
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético La Paz's performance.Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones Negros UdeG might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético La Paz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones Negros UdeG could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↓
(3.6) |
3.67 ↑
(3.6) |
2.19 ↑
(1.87) |
7.3%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético La Paz won 2.
- Atlético La Paz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Leones Negros UdeG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Leones Negros UdeG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Leones Negros UdeG is a favorite.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Atlético La Paz won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.9:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético La Paz won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Atlético La Paz has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Atlético La Paz?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
13.10.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlético La Paz
3:0
05.05.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlético La Paz
3:1
02.05.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:1
27.03.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlético La Paz
2:4
22.08.2023
Atlético La Paz
-
Leones Negros UdeG
3:0
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
