Celaya vs Leones Negros UdeG – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG
Result
2:3
12/04/2025 at 21:06 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports 2, Fox Sports, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
61
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
810
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
61
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 13', Manriquez S. 🟨,
  • 13', Fierro C. 🟨,
  • 16', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Organista A. ,
  • 40', Garcia J. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 2, Fierro C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 2, Monreal E. ,
  • 53', Marchand J. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 2, Baltazar C. ,
  • 59', Cervantes D. 🟨,
  • 62', Garcia J. 🟨,
  • 66', Dominguez A. , Del Angel E. ,
  • 66', Gamboa J. , Tejeda D. ,
  • 71', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. , Flores L. ,
  • 71', Marchand J. , Munoz D. ,
  • 75', Manriquez S. , Hernandez P. ,
  • 76', 2 - 3, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ,
  • 83', de los Santos L. , Partida E. ,
  • 83', Cervantes D. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 88', Aguayo J. , Rabago F. ,
  • 88', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. , Sanchez J. ,
  • 90+1', Organista A. , Carreon A. ,

Chances of winning


Celaya
51.3%
Draw
26.1%
Leones Negros UdeG
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 23.2% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8% 22.1% 18.9%

Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.8
(1.61)
3.54
(3.95)
4.08
(4.6)
8.5%
(9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
  • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
  • Leones Negros UdeG is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 2.
  • Celaya is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
  • Recent matches Leones Negros UdeG is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
  • Leones Negros UdeG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
  • In this match Celaya is a favorite.
  • Our prediction for today's Celaya to win the game is with odds 1.72.
  • Last 20 head-to-head matches Celaya won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22:16 (average 1.1:0.8).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 1.1:0.3).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
27.10.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Celaya 1:1
14.03.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Celaya 0:0
02.11.2023 Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG 0:0
05.05.2023 Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG 1:0
02.05.2023 Leones Negros UdeG - Celaya 0:3
Latest results of Celaya
05.04.2025 Tlaxcala - Celaya 0:3
22.03.2025 Cancún - Celaya 1:1
15.03.2025 Jaiba Brava - Celaya 0:0
08.03.2025 Celaya - Atlético Morelia 1:0
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Cancun ✔ 1292124:51929
2Atlante ✔ 1282228:91926
3Tampico Madero ✔ 1275021:14726
4Irapuato1254319:16319
5Tepatitlan de Morelos1346321:15618
6Zacatecas Mineros1245322:22017
7Leones Negros1243517:17015
8Atl. Morelia1243518:21-315
9Venados1243524:28-415
10Atletico La Paz1235424:24014
11Tlaxcala1235413:21-814
12Tapatio1233615:15012
13Alebrijes Oaxaca1233614:21-712
14Correcaminos1223715:32-179
15Dorados de Sinaloa1312107:22-155

      Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams
Cancun is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Atlante is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tampico Madero is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)