Result
2:3
12/04/2025 at 21:06 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports 2, Fox Sports, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', Manriquez S. 🟨,
- 13', Fierro C. 🟨,
- 16', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Organista A. ⚽,
- 40', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 2, Fierro C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 2, Monreal E. ⚽,
- 53', Marchand J. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 2, Baltazar C. ⚽,
- 59', Cervantes D. 🟨,
- 62', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 66', Dominguez A. ↓, Del Angel E. ↑,
- 66', Gamboa J. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
- 71', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 71', Marchand J. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 75', Manriquez S. ↓, Hernandez P. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 3, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ⚽,
- 83', de los Santos L. ↓, Partida E. ↑,
- 83', Cervantes D. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 88', Aguayo J. ↓, Rabago F. ↑,
- 88', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 90+1', Organista A. ↓, Carreon A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Celaya
51.3% | Draw
26.1% | Leones Negros UdeG
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celaya's form might have worsened.Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.61) |
3.54 ↓
(3.95) |
4.08 ↓
(4.6) |
8.5%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Leones Negros UdeG is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 2.
- Celaya is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Leones Negros UdeG is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Leones Negros UdeG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Celaya is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Celaya to win the game is with odds 1.72.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Celaya won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22:16 (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 1.1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Celaya won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Celaya has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Celaya?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
27.10.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Celaya
1:1
14.03.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Celaya
0:0
02.11.2023
Celaya
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:0
05.05.2023
Celaya
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:0
02.05.2023
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Celaya
0:3
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
