Leones vs Deportivo La Equidad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Copa Leones - Deportivo La Equidad
Result
1:2
28/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 1

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Chaverra F. ,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Asprilla J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 81', 1 - 2, Ceballos A. ,

Chances of winning


Leones
53.7%
Draw
26.7%
Deportivo La Equidad
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 29.4% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1% 28.2% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leones's performance.
  • Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo La Equidad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones than the current prediction. (-25.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+23.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Equidad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leones - Deportivo La Equidad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (3.16)
    3.45
    (3.15)
    4.69
    (2.24)
    6.6%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Leones - Deportivo La Equidad?
  • Users Predictions: Leones will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leones will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Leones has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • La Equidad has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • La Equidad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Leones is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leones won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leones won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
    Latest results of Leones
    17.05.2025 Leones - Bogotá 3:0
    10.05.2025 Atlético Cali - Leones 0:0
    25.04.2025 Leones - Cúcuta Deportivo 0:1
    20.04.2025 Atlético Huila - Leones 2:0
    Draw
    First stage - Play Offs

    Final
    1Ind. MedellinJaguares de Cordoba1 : 1
    2Santa FeInter Palmira2 : 0
    3Deportes TolimaReal Cundinamarca1 : 2
    4MillonariosCartagena3 : 1
    5America De CaliTigres5 : 0
    6JuniorHuila2 : 2
    7Atl. NacionalCucuta1 : 0
    8Once CaldasPatriotas6 : 0