Result
0:1
20/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Mosquera D. 🟨,
- 27', Garavito M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Hurtado J. 🟨,
- 56', Ceballos A. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
- 59', Sarria E. ↓, Rivas R. ↑,
- 67', Aristizabal Juan ↓, Conejero D. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 1, Garavito M. (Pen),
- 72', Rivas R. 🟥,
- 73', Romero J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 73', Mosquera D. ↓, Ibarguen Cuesta J. ↑,
- 82', Renteria L. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 82', Londono Y. ↓, Copete C. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+6', Espitia J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leones
19.4% | Draw
25.6% | Patriotas
55% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones's form might have worsened.Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Patriotas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patriotas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leones - Patriotas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.83 ↑
(3.4) |
3.66 ↑
(3.25) |
1.71 ↓
(2) |
6.7%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Leones has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Patriotas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Patriotas is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones won against Patriotas?
Leones has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Patriotas won against Leones?
Patriotas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones - Patriotas were as follows:
11.04.2025
Patriotas
-
Leones
3:1
18.08.2023
Patriotas
-
Leones
1:3
06.03.2023
Leones
-
Patriotas
0:0
Latest results of Patriotas
Colombian Primera B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Quindio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Inter Palmira | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | U. Magdalena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Bogota | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Orsomarso | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Envigado | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Ind. Yumbo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Real Santander | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Tigres | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Patriotas | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Leones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Atletico F.C | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
