Leonesa B vs Palencia CA – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 Leonesa B - Palencia CA
Result
2:3
01/05/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Fernandez J. R. ,
  • 20', 0 - 2, Garcia I. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 2, Espinola F. ,
  • 58', 1 - 3, Fernandez J. R. ,
  • 90', 2 - 3, Ramirez K. ,

Chances of winning


Leonesa B
29.6%
Draw
30.3%
Palencia CA
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 28.4% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 27.6% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leonesa B's form might have worsened.
  • Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palencia CA's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa B than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palencia CA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leonesa B - Palencia CA Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (2.12)
    3.03
    (3.2)
    2.28
    (3.17)
    9.2%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 8).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Palencia CA could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.
    • Leonesa B will have a small advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leonesa B won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Leonesa B won 0 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa B - Palencia CA were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Palencia CA - Leonesa B 1:1
    13.04.2024 Palencia CA - Leonesa B 1:1
    25.11.2023 Leonesa B - Palencia CA 0:2
    Latest results of Leonesa B
    Latest results of Palencia CA
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2