Leonesa vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.04
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
74% (236/319)82% (383/469)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.080.90
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1427
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
159
Passes
74% (236/319)82% (383/469)
Long passes
30% (18/60)40% (18/45)
Passes in final third
54% (53/98)69% (103/149)
Crosses
20% (3/15)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.20
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
915
Tackles
71% (12/17)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4739
Clearances
2615
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.901.08
Goals prevented
-0.101.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+5', Lopy D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Tresaco R. 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 1, Leo Baptistao , Munoz A. (A),
  • 65', Collado D. , Justo M. ,
  • 66', Fornos Q. , Garcia V. ,
  • 66', Tresaco R. , Pibe ,
  • 66', Leo Baptistao , Puigmal A. ,
  • 76', Lazaro , Soko P. ,
  • 76', Lopy D. , Clua S. ,
  • 77', Barzic M. , Toca N. ,
  • 85', Arribas S. , Melamed N. ,
  • 90+3', Embarba A. , Centelles A. ,
  • 90+3', Gui Guedes , Dzodic S. ,
  • 90+11', Puigmal A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3mdta3yb

Chances of winning


Leonesa
28.9%
Draw
27%
Almería
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 26.9% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 25.7% 43.3%

Leonesa - Almería Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.25
(2.92)
3.46
(3.46)
2.14
(2.25)
6.4%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leonesa - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Almería will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 2 - 50%). Almería (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Almería (1.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Almería (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Almería (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 2 - 25%). Almería (votes: 6 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Leonesa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Almería has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Leonesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Leonesa has had a series of away games.
    • Almería is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Diallo Selu M. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Almería: Monte N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Baba I. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Almería were as follows:
    04.12.2024 Leonesa - Almería 1:2
    Latest results of Leonesa
    15.08.2025 Burgos - Leonesa 5:1
    09.08.2025 Lugo - Leonesa 1:0
    06.08.2025 Real Avilés - Leonesa 2:2
    03.08.2025 Real Oviedo - Leonesa 1:0
    Latest results of Almería
    10.08.2025 Almería - Al-Nassr Riyadh 3:2
    08.08.2025 Elche - Almería 1:0
    31.07.2025 Marbella - Almería 0:0
    27.07.2025 Almería - Al-Jazira 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander25145651:331847
    2Castellon25136642:251745
    3Dep. La Coruna25127640:271343
    4Almeria25126747:361142
    5Malaga25125838:29941
    6Las Palmas251010529:20940
    7Burgos CF25116828:24439
    8Gijon251231035:33239
    9Cordoba24108632:27538
    10Ceuta24105930:34-435
    11Cadiz CF2597927:29-234
    12Albacete25961031:36-533
    13Leganes2588927:25232
    14Eibar2588926:27-132
    15Granada CF25611826:29-329
    16Andorra25781027:35-829
    17Real Sociedad B25771132:35-328
    18Valladolid25771125:31-628
    19Huesca25761223:34-1127
    20Cultural Leonesa25741426:40-1425
    21Zaragoza25581222:38-1623
    22Mirandes25551525:42-1720

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