Result
3:0
09/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 29
- Referee: Ais S. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | DSports 6 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Ecuador | DSports 6 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | DSports 6 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (419/486) | 85% (381/448) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (419/486) | 85% (381/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (30/53) | 33% (14/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (86/118) | 75% (106/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Arribas S. ⚽, Lopy D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Lopy D. 🟨,
- 56', Ojeda T. 🟨,
- 56', Diallo Selu M. 🟨,
- 65', Morcillo J. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
- 65', Leo Baptistao ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
- 65', Moreno V. ↓, Calero I. ↑,
- 77', de la Fuente M. ↓, Thalys ↑,
- 78', 2 - 0, Arribas S. ⚽,
- 79', Sobrino R. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
- 79', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
- 79', Radoja N. ↓, Bicho ↑,
- 80', Lopy D. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
- 80', Arribas S. ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 0, Thalys ⚽, Embarba A. (A),
- 87', Chacon L. ↓, Al Amin H. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5epj8vjv
Chances of winning
Almería
60.2% | Draw
21.9% | Leonesa
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Almería - Leonesa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.47) |
4.29 ↑
(4.27) |
5.27 ↓
(6.21) |
6.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Almería - Leonesa?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 29 - 93.5%). Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 84.8% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Almería (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Almería (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Leonesa (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almería will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Leonesa (votes: 1 - 7.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- Almería is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Leonesa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Almería is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Almería: Horta A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Leonesa: Ribeiro L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Almería: Dzodic S.
(Injury)
- We predict that Almería will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Almería won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Leonesa?
Almería has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Almería?
Leonesa has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Leonesa were as follows:
24.08.2025
Leonesa
-
Almería
0:1
04.12.2024
Leonesa
-
Almería
1:2
Latest results of Almería
Latest results of Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
