Leganés vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes).

LaLiga2 - Round 27
Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.79	0.97
Ball possession
68%	32%
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
1	2
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	0
Passes
86% (435/505)	74% (180/244)
Yellow cards
3	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.79	0.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.82	0.63
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
9	6
Blocked shots
1	3
Shots inside the box
7	6
Shots outside the box
4	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	0
Touches in opposition box
21	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	4
Free kicks
14	7
Passes
86% (435/505)	74% (180/244)
Long passes
43% (17/40)	43% (20/47)
Passes in final third
69% (93/134)	65% (51/78)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.63	1.28
Throw ins
15	23
Fouls
7	14
Tackles
80% (12/15)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
49	35
Clearances
25	28
Interceptions
10	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.63	0.82
Goals prevented
-0.37	-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Pena R. ↓, Figueredo S. ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Chacon L. ⚽, Tresaco R. (A),
40', Chacon L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lopez R. ↓, Cisse S. ↑,
63', Diawara A. ↓, Duk ↑,
63', Calero I. ↓, Bicho ↑,
63', Maestre S. ↓, Satrustegui E. ↑,
75', Millan A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
75', Plano O. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
77', Aguilar Lopez G. 🟨,
78', Ojeda T. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
78', Tresaco R. ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
87', Hinojo R. ↓, Al Amin H. ↑,
88', Marvel 🟨,
88', Sobrino R. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Asue L. ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),
90+2', Barzic M. 🟨,
90+2', Duk 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Leganés
54.7%

Draw
26.7%

Leonesa
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

20.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leganés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Leganés - Leonesa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	3.5 ↓ (3.73)	5.05 ↑ (4.99)	6.7% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Leganés - Leonesa?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 29% – 96%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Leganés has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Leonesa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Leganés is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Leganés: Pulido R. (Knee Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Leonesa?

Leganés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Leganés?

Leonesa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Leganés - Leonesa were as follows:

07.09.2025 Leonesa - Leganés 0:0

Latest results of Leganés

14.02.2026 Córdoba - Leganés 2:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Leganés - Granada 1:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Burgos - Leganés 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Leganés - Real Sociedad B 2:0 ✺

16.01.2026 Castellón - Leganés 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Leonesa

14.02.2026 Leonesa - Zaragoza 0:0 ✺

08.02.2026 Málaga - Leonesa 2:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Leonesa - Deportivo La Coruña 0:1 ✺

26.01.2026 Ceuta - Leonesa 3:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón 2:4 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	28	16	5	7	56:36	20	53
2	Castellon	28	14	7	7	46:29	17	49
3	Almeria	28	14	7	7	53:40	13	49
4	Dep. La Coruna	28	14	7	7	44:31	13	49
5	Malaga	28	14	5	9	41:31	10	47
6	Las Palmas	28	11	12	5	34:22	12	45
7	Ceuta	28	13	5	10	36:39	-3	44
8	Burgos CF	28	12	7	9	30:26	4	43
9	Gijon	28	12	6	10	38:36	2	42
10	Cordoba	28	11	8	9	38:37	1	41
11	Eibar	28	10	8	10	31:30	1	38
12	Andorra	28	9	8	11	35:40	-5	35
13	Albacete	28	9	8	11	33:39	-6	35
14	Cadiz CF	28	9	8	11	29:35	-6	35
15	Leganes	28	8	10	10	29:28	1	34
16	Real Sociedad B	28	9	7	12	38:39	-1	34
17	Granada CF	28	7	11	10	32:33	-1	32
18	Valladolid	28	8	8	12	29:38	-9	32
19	Huesca	28	8	6	14	26:37	-11	30
20	Cultural Leonesa	28	7	6	15	27:44	-17	27
21	Mirandes	28	6	6	16	28:45	-17	24
22	Zaragoza	28	5	9	14	23:41	-18	24

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