Leonesa vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
1:0
17/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 14
  • Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDSports 9
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.87
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
76% (217/287)88% (453/512)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.29
Total shots
616
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
146
Passes
76% (217/287)88% (453/512)
Long passes
38% (22/58)53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
56% (30/54)81% (121/149)
Crosses
33% (2/6)14% (5/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.55
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
614
Tackles
45% (10/22)44% (4/9)
Duels won
5528
Clearances
489
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.290.34
Goals prevented
0.29-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Merino I. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Ribeiro L. ⚽, Calero I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Merino I. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
  • 65', Justo M. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
  • 65', Mboula J. ↓, Tresaco R. ↑,
  • 70', Lobete J. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
  • 70', Larrubia D. ↓, Dotor C. ↑,
  • 76', Ribeiro L. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
  • 76', Montero J. 🟨,
  • 79', Montero J. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
  • 79', Rafita ↓, Puga C. ↑,
  • 90', Chacon L. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
  • 90', Calero I. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
  • 90+3', Murillo D. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leonesa
41.1%		Draw
30.2%		Málaga
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 28.1% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 27.8% 29.3%

Leonesa - Málaga Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.34 ↑
(2.24)		 3.16 ↓
(3.36)		 3.31 ↑
(3.19)		 4.8%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leonesa - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leonesa: 35.2% – 84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Chupe (Injury) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Juanpe (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Leonesa
    08.11.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Leonesa 3:0 ✺
    01.11.2025 Leonesa - Mirandés 3:2 ✺
    28.10.2025 Tropezón - Leonesa 1:3
    25.10.2025 Leonesa - Ceuta 0:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 Zaragoza - Leonesa 0:5 ✺
    Latest results of Málaga
    08.11.2025 Málaga - Córdoba 2:2 ✺
    02.11.2025 Castellón - Málaga 2:1 ✺
    30.10.2025 Estepona - Málaga 1:3 ✺
    26.10.2025 Málaga - FC Andorra 4:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Leganés - Málaga 2:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander17112440:251535
    2Dep. La Coruna1795332:171532
    3Almeria1795333:221132
    4Las Palmas1786318:10830
    5Castellon1784527:21628
    6Burgos CF1774621:16525
    7Ceuta1774618:21-325
    8Valladolid1766520:15524
    9Gijon1773721:23-224
    10Cadiz CF1766516:18-224
    11Cultural Leonesa1772820:22-223
    12Cordoba1757521:22-122
    13Albacete1764723:27-422
    14Malaga1755721:22-120
    15Granada CF1748520:22-220
    16Leganes1747616:18-219
    17Huesca1754815:23-819
    18Real Sociedad B1753923:26-318
    19Andorra1746719:26-718
    20Eibar1745818:24-617
    21Mirandes1744917:26-916
    22Zaragoza1744914:27-1316

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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