Leonesa vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 14
  • Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDSports 9
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.87
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
76% (217/287)88% (453/512)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.29
Total shots
616
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
146
Passes
76% (217/287)88% (453/512)
Long passes
38% (22/58)53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
56% (30/54)81% (121/149)
Crosses
33% (2/6)14% (5/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.55
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
614
Tackles
45% (10/22)44% (4/9)
Duels won
5528
Clearances
489
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.290.34
Goals prevented
0.29-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Merino I. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Ribeiro L. , Calero I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Merino I. , Nino A. ,
  • 65', Justo M. , Gonzalez Y. ,
  • 65', Mboula J. , Tresaco R. ,
  • 70', Lobete J. , Dorrio J. ,
  • 70', Larrubia D. , Dotor C. ,
  • 76', Ribeiro L. , Collado D. ,
  • 76', Montero J. 🟨,
  • 79', Montero J. , Munoz J. ,
  • 79', Rafita , Puga C. ,
  • 90', Chacon L. , Maestre S. ,
  • 90', Calero I. , Garcia V. ,
  • 90+3', Murillo D. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leonesa
41.1%
Draw
30.2%
Málaga
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 28.1% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 27.8% 29.3%

Leonesa - Málaga Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.34
(2.24)
3.16
(3.36)
3.31
(3.19)
4.8%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leonesa - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leonesa: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Chupe (Injury) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Juanpe (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Leonesa
    01.11.2025 Leonesa - Mirandés 3:2
    28.10.2025 Tropezón - Leonesa 1:3
    25.10.2025 Leonesa - Ceuta 0:1
    18.10.2025 Zaragoza - Leonesa 0:5
    Latest results of Málaga
    08.11.2025 Málaga - Córdoba 2:2
    02.11.2025 Castellón - Málaga 2:1
    30.10.2025 Estepona - Málaga 1:3
    26.10.2025 Málaga - FC Andorra 4:1
    19.10.2025 Leganés - Málaga 2:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander19114442:271537
    2Las Palmas1997323:111234
    3Dep. La Coruna1995532:211132
    4Almeria1995535:26932
    5Castellon1994630:24631
    6Cadiz CF1986520:19130
    7Gijon1993723:23030
    8Burgos CF1985624:18629
    9Ceuta1985622:23-129
    10Malaga1975726:24226
    11Cordoba1968523:23026
    12Valladolid1966720:19124
    13Andorra1966721:26-524
    14Albacete1965825:31-623
    15Huesca1965818:24-623
    16Cultural Leonesa19721020:28-823
    17Real Sociedad B19631027:29-221
    18Eibar1956821:24-321
    19Granada CF1949621:24-321
    20Leganes1948717:20-320
    21Zaragoza19451016:30-1417
    22Mirandes19441119:31-1216

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