Málaga vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga).

LaLiga2 - Round 25
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN, Disney+, Dsports 8
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Ecuador	DAZN, DSports 8
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 8
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.32	0.09
Ball possession
64%	36%
Total shots
18	4
Shots on target
8	3
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
7	2
Passes
86% (471/546)	75% (231/309)
Yellow cards
2	6
Expected goals (xG)
1.32	0.09
xG on target (xGOT)
2.04	0.57
Total shots
18	4
Shots on target
8	3
Shots off target
9	1
Blocked shots
1	0
Shots inside the box
11	1
Shots outside the box
7	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
34	8
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
17	8
Passes
86% (471/546)	75% (231/309)
Long passes
54% (27/50)	45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
73% (138/188)	48% (31/64)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.37	0.58
Throw ins
13	22
Fouls
8	17
Tackles
60% (9/15)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
55	37
Clearances
18	32
Interceptions
7	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	6
xGOT faced
0.57	2.04
Goals prevented
-0.43	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Maestre S. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Calero I. ⚽, Diallo Selu M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lorenzo D. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
58', Badia E. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Larrubia D. ⚽, Chupe (A),
70', Merino I. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
70', Munoz J. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
77', Sobrino R. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
77', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Bicho ↑,
77', Tresaco R. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
79', Barzic M. 🟨,
81', Rodri Suarez 🟨,
81', Ochoa A. 🟨,
85', Hinojo R. 🟨,
85', Hinojo R. ↓, Satrustegui E. ↑,
87', Chupe ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
90+2', Calero I. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Larrubia D. ⚽,
90+5', Larrubia D. 🟨,
90+6', Dotor C. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
90+6', Collado D. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ty8zssay

Chances of winning

Málaga
53.9%

Draw
26.7%

Leonesa
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.4%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Málaga - Leonesa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.78)	3.53 ↑ (3.51)	4.84 ↑ (4.45)	6.1% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Málaga - Leonesa?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Málaga will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Málaga will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Málaga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Leonesa is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Málaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Málaga is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Garcia V. (Injury) Lobete J. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Sanchez D. (Injury)
We predict that Málaga will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Málaga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Leonesa?

Málaga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Málaga?

Leonesa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Leonesa were as follows:

17.11.2025 Leonesa - Málaga 1:0

Latest results of Málaga

02.02.2026 Mirandés - Málaga 2:1 ✺

23.01.2026 Málaga - Burgos 3:0 ✺

18.01.2026 Córdoba - Málaga 0:1 ✺

11.01.2026 Málaga - Ceuta 2:1 ✺

05.01.2026 Málaga - Telstar Canceled ✺

Latest results of Leonesa

31.01.2026 Leonesa - Deportivo La Coruña 0:1 ✺

26.01.2026 Ceuta - Leonesa 3:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón 2:4 ✺

13.01.2026 Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao 3:4 ✺

10.01.2026 FC Andorra - Leonesa 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	31	18	5	8	62:44	18	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	31	16	7	8	48:35	13	55
3	Almeria	31	16	7	8	59:43	16	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	52:37	15	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	40:24	16	51
6	Burgos CF	31	14	8	9	36:26	10	50
7	Castellon	30	14	7	9	49:37	12	49
8	Eibar	31	12	9	10	33:30	3	45
9	Gijon	31	13	6	12	42:39	3	45
10	Ceuta	31	13	5	13	39:50	-11	44
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	39:40	-1	42
12	Cordoba	31	11	8	12	41:47	-6	41
13	Real Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	44:43	1	40
14	Granada CF	31	9	12	10	37:34	3	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	37:42	-5	39
16	Cadiz CF	31	10	8	13	31:39	-8	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	36:34	2	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	36:45	-9	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	30:45	-15	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	27:43	-16	30
21	Mirandes	31	7	6	18	30:50	-20	27
22	Cultural Leonesa	30	7	6	17	28:49	-21	27

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