Málaga vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDAZN, Disney+, Dsports 8
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN, DSports 8
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
paraguayParaguayDAZN
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
uruguayUruguayDAZN, DSports 8
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN, Disney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.320.09
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
83
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
72
Passes
86% (471/546)75% (231/309)
Yellow cards
26
Expected goals (xG)
1.320.09
xG on target (xGOT)
2.040.57
Total shots
184
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
91
Blocked shots
10
Shots inside the box
111
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
348
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
01
Free kicks
178
Passes
86% (471/546)75% (231/309)
Long passes
54% (27/50)45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
73% (138/188)48% (31/64)
Crosses
15% (2/13)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.58
Throw ins
1322
Fouls
817
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5537
Clearances
1832
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.572.04
Goals prevented
-0.430.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', Maestre S. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Calero I. ⚽, Diallo Selu M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lorenzo D. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
  • 58', Badia E. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Larrubia D. ⚽, Chupe (A),
  • 70', Merino I. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
  • 70', Munoz J. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
  • 77', Sobrino R. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
  • 77', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Bicho ↑,
  • 77', Tresaco R. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
  • 79', Barzic M. 🟨,
  • 81', Rodri Suarez 🟨,
  • 81', Ochoa A. 🟨,
  • 85', Hinojo R. 🟨,
  • 85', Hinojo R. ↓, Satrustegui E. ↑,
  • 87', Chupe ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
  • 90+2', Calero I. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Larrubia D. ⚽,
  • 90+5', Larrubia D. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Dotor C. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
  • 90+6', Collado D. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ty8zssay

Chances of winning


Málaga
53.9%		Draw
26.7%		Leonesa
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 26.6% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 25.4% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
    •

    Málaga - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.75 ↓
    (1.78)    		 3.53 ↑
    (3.51)    		 4.84 ↑
    (4.45)    		 6.1%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Málaga - Leonesa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Málaga will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Málaga will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Málaga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Leonesa is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Málaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Málaga is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Garcia V. (Injury) Lobete J. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Sanchez D. (Injury)
    • We predict that Málaga will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Málaga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Leonesa were as follows:
    17.11.2025 Leonesa - Málaga 1:0
    Latest results of Málaga
    02.02.2026 Mirandés - Málaga 2:1 ✺
    23.01.2026 Málaga - Burgos 3:0 ✺
    18.01.2026 Córdoba - Málaga 0:1 ✺
    11.01.2026 Málaga - Ceuta 2:1 ✺
    05.01.2026 Málaga - Telstar Canceled
    Latest results of Leonesa
    31.01.2026 Leonesa - Deportivo La Coruña 0:1 ✺
    26.01.2026 Ceuta - Leonesa 3:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón 2:4 ✺
    13.01.2026 Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao 3:4 ✺
    10.01.2026 FC Andorra - Leonesa 1:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy