Leuven vs Roma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women
Result
1:1
20/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Guteva H. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.892.08
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1821
Shots on target
712
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
79% (330/417)79% (316/399)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.892.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.002.41
Total shots
1821
Shots on target
712
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
914
Shots outside the Box
97
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
2236
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
56
Passes
79% (330/417)79% (316/399)
Long passes
46% (22/48)42% (16/38)
Passes in final third
64% (69/108)64% (68/107)
Crosses
33% (4/12)36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.681.41
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
65
Tackles
42% (8/19)76% (16/21)
Duels won
3144
Clearances
2723
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
116
xGOT faced
2.412.00
Goals prevented
1.411.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Viens E. ⚽, Corelli A. (A),
  • 42', Nagy V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bosteels A. ↓, De Ceuster K. ↑,
  • 46', Nagy V. ↓, Janssen S. ↑,
  • 46', Kuijpers J. ↓, Dekker I. ↑,
  • 51', Veje K. ↓, Bergamaschi V. ↑,
  • 62', Dragoni G. ↓, Giugliano M. ↑,
  • 62', Viens E. ↓, Pilgrim A. ↑,
  • 62', Corelli A. ↓, Pante M. ↑,
  • 69', Giugliano M. 🟨,
  • 70', Bergamaschi V. 🟨,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Conijnenberg J. (Pen),
  • 76', Kuhl K. ↓, Babajide R. ↑,
  • 79', Reynders A. ↓, Papatheodorou I. ↑,
  • 86', Conijnenberg J. ↓, Heremans M. ↑,
  • 90+3', Everaerts K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Leuven
23.6%		Draw
21.5%		Roma
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 20.7% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 20.3% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leuven's form might have worsened.
  • Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roma's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leuven than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leuven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
    •

    Leuven - Roma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.9 ↑
    (3.15)    		 4.36 ↓
    (4.52)    		 1.71 ↓
    (1.88)    		 7.1%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Leuven - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Roma will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 21.7% – 78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Roma (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Leuven (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Leuven (votes: 2 - 50%). Roma (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Leuven has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Roma is the team to beat.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Leuven
    15.11.2025 Gent - Leuven 1:5
    12.11.2025 Barcelona - Leuven 3:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Genk - Leuven 0:3
    01.11.2025 Club Brugge - Leuven 1:0
    18.10.2025 Westerlo - Leuven 0:1
    Latest results of Roma
    16.11.2025 Roma - Lazio 1:0 ✺
    11.11.2025 Roma - Vålerenga 0:1 ✺
    07.11.2025 Fiorentina - Roma 5:2
    02.11.2025 Roma - Inter Milan 3:0
    19.10.2025 Napoli - Roma 1:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. Madrid W (11)Manchester Utd W (6)0 : 2, 0 : 3
    2ByeBayern Munich W (4)
    3Paris FC W (10)Real Madrid W (7)0 : 2, 2 : 3
    4ByeBarcelona W (1)
    5Leuven W (12)Arsenal W (5)1 : 3, 0 : 4
    6ByeChelsea W (3)
    7Wolfsburg W (9)Juventus W (8)2 : 0, 2 : 2
    8ByeLyon W (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Manchester Utd W (6)Bayern Munich W (4)
    2Real Madrid W (7)Barcelona W (1)
    3Arsenal W (5)Chelsea W (3)
    4Wolfsburg W (9)Lyon W (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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