Result
3:1
01/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 19
- Referee: Zampalas S. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (275/355) | 75% (268/355) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (275/355) | 75% (268/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (33/65) | 55% (35/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (45/66) | 62% (73/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -1.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Palacios S. 🟨,
- 24', Triantafyllopoulos K. 🟨,
- 35', Ivanov R. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Tsapras T. ⚽, Palacios S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Yablonskiy E. ↓, Chicco J. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 0, Palacios S. ⚽, Ozbolt A. (A),
- 52', Manthatis G. ↓, Nikas G. ↑,
- 60', Munoz Mumo 🟨,
- 62', 3 - 0, Kosti I. ⚽, Palacios S. (A),
- 63', Balzi G. ↓, Pedrozo F. ↑,
- 63', Ozbolt A. ↓, Ozegovic O. ↑,
- 65', Kaltsas N. ↓, Emmanouilidis D. ↑,
- 65', Munoz Mumo ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
- 65', Alho N. ↓, Deligiannidis P. ↑,
- 66', Abu Hanna J. 🟨,
- 73', Sylla I. 🟨,
- 76', 3 - 1, Ivanov R. ⚽,
- 80', Kosti I. ↓, Papadopoulos C. ↑,
- 80', Palacios S. ↓, Filon T. ↑,
- 82', Bartolo J. ↓, Gioacchini N. ↑,
- 87', Papadopoulos C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Levadiakos
56.7% | Draw
25.6% | Asteras Tripolis
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Levadiakos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadiakos than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levadiakos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Levadiakos - Asteras Tripolis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.59) |
3.66 ↓
(3.7) |
5.34 ↓
(5.67) |
6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Levadiakos - Asteras Tripolis?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Asteras Tripolis (5.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Levadiakos will win
(21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Levadiakos will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Levadiakos (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Asteras Tripolis (votes: 2 - 15.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadiakos won 1.
- Levadiakos is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Asteras Tripolis is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Levadiakos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Levadiakos is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Levadiakos: Symelidis P.
(Yellow Cards)
Verbic B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Charalampoglou G.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Levadiakos will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Levadiakos won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Levadiakos won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Levadiakos won against Asteras Tripolis?
Levadiakos has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against Levadiakos?
Asteras Tripolis has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Levadiakos - Asteras Tripolis were as follows:
07.12.2025
Asteras Tripolis
-
Levadiakos
1:1
29.10.2025
Levadiakos
-
Asteras Tripolis
1:0
19.01.2025
Levadiakos
-
Asteras Tripolis
1:2
28.09.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Levadiakos
1:1
20.07.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Levadiakos
1:1
Latest results of Levadiakos
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 9 | Atromitos | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 31 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:40 | -13 | 30 |
| 11 | Kifisia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18:56 | -38 | 21 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25:42 | -17 | 21 |
Relegation ~ Super League 2
