Result
2:3
30/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 12
- Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Poland | SportKlub |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (238/325) | 77% (351/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (238/325) | 77% (351/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 58% (40/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (40/63) | 62% (94/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Kosti I. ⚽,
- 30', Kedziora T. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Ozdoev M. ⚽, Ivanusec L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', 2 - 1, Verbic B. ⚽, Palacios S. (A),
- 55', 2 - 2, Ozdoev M. ⚽, Lovren D. (A),
- 60', Taylor G. ↓, Baba A. R. ↑,
- 60', Kedziora T. ↓, Michailidis G. ↑,
- 61', Ivanusec L. ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
- 66', Balzi G. ↓, Tshibola A. ↑,
- 73', Ozdoev M. ↓, Bianco A. ↑,
- 77', Meite S. 🟥,
- 77', Lovren D. 🟨,
- 83', Despodov K. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 83', Verbic B. ↓, Pedrozo F. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 3, Giakoumakis G. ⚽, Taison (A),
- 90+2', Kosti I. ↓, Manthatis G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Levadiakos
21.9% | Draw
25.9% | PAOK
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Levadiakos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levadiakos's performance.PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PAOK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadiakos than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Levadiakos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PAOK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Levadiakos - PAOK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.39 ↓
(6.45) |
3.7 ↓
(3.8) |
1.81 ↑
(1.52) |
5%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Levadiakos - PAOK?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Levadiakos will win (votes: 5 - 25%). PAOK will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 33.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Levadiakos (votes: 2 - 40%). PAOK (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - PAOK (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Levadiakos (votes: 2 - 33.3%). PAOK (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadiakos won 1.
- Levadiakos is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- PAOK is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- PAOK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, PAOK is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Levadiakos: Layous H.
(Inactive)
Tsivelekidis G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in PAOK: Camara M.
(Ankle Injury)
Konstantelias G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Levadiakos won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 13:38. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Levadiakos won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Levadiakos won against PAOK?
Levadiakos has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against Levadiakos?
PAOK has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Levadiakos - PAOK were as follows:
17.09.2025
Levadiakos
-
PAOK
4:1
26.01.2025
PAOK
-
Levadiakos
1:0
06.10.2024
Levadiakos
-
PAOK
0:2
30.01.2023
PAOK
-
Levadiakos
3:2
09.10.2022
Levadiakos
-
PAOK
1:1
Latest results of Levadiakos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AEK Athens ✔ | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 41:13 | 28 | 52 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 40:10 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | PAOK | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 42:14 | 28 | 47 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 49:29 | 20 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Aris | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 28 |
| 7 | Volos | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 21:32 | -11 | 26 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 27:37 | -10 | 25 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:36 | -14 | 21 |
| 11 | Kifisia | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 27:33 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21:34 | -13 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14:53 | -39 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
