Rayo Vallecano vs Levante – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid).

LaLiga - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	ESPN 3
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.73	1.24
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
18	19
Shots on target
4	5
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
5	6
Passes
78% (321/409)	78% (230/294)
Yellow cards
3	5
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.73	1.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.23	0.39
Total shots
18	19
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
10	7
Blocked shots
4	7
Shots inside the box
10	14
Shots outside the box
8	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
23	26
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
13	10
Passes
78% (321/409)	78% (230/294)
Long passes
36% (25/69)	53% (30/57)
Passes in final third
60% (77/128)	59% (44/75)
Crosses
21% (6/29)	26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.20	0.88
Throw ins
30	25
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
47% (7/15)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
37	50
Clearances
20	35
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.39	1.23
Goals prevented
-0.61	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Mendy N. 🟨,
30', Tunde K. 🟨,
40', de Frutos J. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Espi C. ⚽, Losada I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Perez F. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
46', Gumbau G. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
53', Mendy N. 🟨,
55', Tunde K. ↓, Cortes F. ↑,
58', Toljan J. 🟨,
65', Valentin O. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
65', Alemao ↓, Ratiu A. ↑,
66', Cortes F. 🟨,
73', Garcia V. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
74', Romero I. ↓, Raghouber U. ↑,
74', Losada I. ↓, Arriaga K. ↑,
76', Balliu I. ↓, Ciss P. ↑,
84', Espi C. ↓, Etta Eyong K. ↑,
88', Moreno M. 🟨,
90+4', Sanchez M. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Ciss P. ⚽, Lejeune F. (A),

Chances of winning

Rayo Vallecano
51.9%

Draw
27%

Levante
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24.8%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

23.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Rayo Vallecano - Levante Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.71)	3.56 ↓ (3.84)	4.56 ↓ (4.87)	4.3% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Levante?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Levante (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Levante (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (59 of 73 users predict this - 80.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 89.85%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rayo Vallecano will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Levante (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 2.
Rayo Vallecano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Levante is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Levante has had a series of home games.
In this match, Rayo Vallecano is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mendez D. (Injury)
There will not play in Levante: Alvarez C. (Injury) Brugue R. (Knee Injury) Dela (Yellow Cards) Elgezabal U. (Knee Injury) Martinez P. (Knee Injury) Olasagasti J. A. (Red Card)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 2.1:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Levante?

Rayo Vallecano has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Levante won against Rayo Vallecano?

Levante has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Levante were as follows:

19.10.2025 Levante - Rayo Vallecano 0:3

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

12.03.2026 Samsunspor - Rayo Vallecano 1:3 ✺

08.03.2026 Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ✺

04.03.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo 3:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Betis - Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Levante

07.03.2026 Levante - Girona 1:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Levante - Deportivo Alavés 2:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Barcelona - Levante 3:0 ✺

18.02.2026 Levante - Villarreal 0:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Levante - Valencia 0:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona ✔	31	26	1	4	84:30	54	79
2	Real Madrid	31	22	4	5	65:29	36	70
3	Villarreal	31	19	4	8	56:36	20	61
4	Atl. Madrid	31	17	6	8	51:32	19	57
5	Betis	31	11	13	7	45:38	7	46
6	Celta Vigo	31	11	11	9	44:40	4	44
7	Real Sociedad	31	11	9	11	49:48	1	42
8	Getafe	30	12	5	13	27:31	-4	41
9	Osasuna	31	10	9	12	37:38	-1	39
10	Espanyol	31	10	8	13	37:48	-11	38
11	Ath Bilbao	31	11	5	15	33:45	-12	38
12	Girona	31	9	11	11	33:45	-12	38
13	Rayo Vallecano	31	8	11	12	29:38	-9	35
14	Valencia	31	9	8	14	34:46	-12	35
15	Mallorca	31	9	7	15	39:48	-9	34
16	Sevilla	31	9	7	15	39:51	-12	34
17	Alaves	31	8	9	14	35:46	-11	33
18	Elche	31	7	11	13	39:47	-8	32
19	Oviedo	31	6	9	16	24:48	-24	27
20	Levante	30	6	8	16	34:50	-16	26

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Clinched Spots for Teams

Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )