Levante vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga
Football Spanish LaLiga Levante - Rayo Vallecano
Result
0:3
19/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
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south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
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uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.74
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
81% (339/419)82% (300/365)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.331.83
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
4110
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
186
Passes
81% (339/419)82% (300/365)
Long passes
50% (19/38)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
61% (92/150)69% (45/65)
Crosses
23% (7/30)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.79
Throw-ins
2616
Fouls
618
Tackles
69% (11/16)74% (20/27)
Duels won
5543
Clearances
1259
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.830.33
Goals prevented
-1.17-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, de Frutos J. ⚽, Lopez U. (A),
  • 25', 0 - 2, de Frutos J. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', Diaz P. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
  • 63', Alemao ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
  • 65', 0 - 3, Garcia A. ⚽, Chavarria P. (A),
  • 74', Alvarez C. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
  • 74', Brugue R. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
  • 74', Vencedor U. ↓, Olasagasti J. A. ↑,
  • 74', Etta Eyong ↓, Koyalipou G. ↑,
  • 74', Perez F. ↓, Pacha ↑,
  • 75', de Frutos J. ↓, Ciss P. ↑,
  • 82', Mendy N. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
  • 82', Moreno M. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
  • 90+4', Palazon I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Levante
6.9%		Draw
25.2%		Rayo Vallecano
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 27.3% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 28.9% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Levante's form might have worsened.
  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rayo Vallecano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+25.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-26.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Levante - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 27.12 ↑
    (2.81)    		 6.84 ↑
    (3.5)    		 2.19 ↓
    (2.47)    		 -36%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Levante - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Levante will win (votes: 5 - 11.9%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 17 - 40.5%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 47.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.5% – 62.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levante won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Rayo Vallecano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Levante has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Red Card) Luiz Felipe (Hamstring Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Levante: Matturro A. (Injury) Varela Pampin D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Garcia A. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Levante won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Levante won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
    Latest results of Levante
    13.10.2025 Leganés - Levante 3:3 ✺
    04.10.2025 Real Oviedo - Levante 0:2 ✺
    27.09.2025 Getafe - Levante 1:1 ✺
    23.09.2025 Levante - Real Madrid 1:4 ✺
    20.09.2025 Girona - Levante 0:4 ✺
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    05.10.2025 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Shkendija Tetovo 2:0 ✺
    28.09.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 0:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo 1:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid1090122:101227
    2Barcelona1071225:121322
    3Villarreal1062218:10820
    4Espanyol1053214:11318
    5Atl. Madrid944116:10616
    6Betis944115:10516
    7Rayo Vallecano1042412:10214
    8Elche1035211:10114
    9Ath Bilbao104249:10-114
    10Getafe1042410:12-214
    11Sevilla1041517:16113
    12Alaves103349:9012
    13Celta Vigo1017211:13-210
    14Osasuna103169:12-310
    15Levante1023514:18-49
    16Mallorca1023511:15-49
    17Real Sociedad1023510:14-49
    18Valencia1023510:16-69
    19R. Oviedo102177:19-127
    20Girona101459:22-137

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          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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