Result
4:1
28/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 Serbia | SportKlub 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (402/461) | 86% (453/528) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.17 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (402/461) | 86% (453/528) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (18/35) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (78/116) | 66% (67/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 4.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Sadiq I. ⚽,
- 6', 2 - 0, Meerdink M. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
- 9', Clasie J. 🟨,
- 45+1', 3 - 0, Sadiq I. ⚽, Meerdink M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Clasie J. ↓, Kwakman D. ↑,
- 46', 3 - 1, Everton Bala ⚽, Maicon (A),
- 60', Rupanov B. 🟨,
- 63', Sadiq I. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
- 63', Smit K. ↓, Mijnans S. ↑,
- 66', Mitkov A. 🟨,
- 66', Rupanov B. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
- 66', Petkov M. ↓, Soula M. ↑,
- 69', Sangare M. 🟨,
- 77', Kirilov R. ↓, Rildo ↑,
- 77', Everton Bala ↓, Fabien K. ↑,
- 78', Daal R. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
- 78', Meerdink M. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
- 84', Maicon ↓, Fabio Lima ↑,
- 86', 4 - 1, Zeefuik L. ⚽, Jensen I. (A),
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
73.4% | Draw
16.6% | Levski Sofia
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Levski Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↑
(1.3) |
6.13 ↑
(4.6) |
10.5 ↑
(8.8) |
0.9%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Levski will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 63.4% – 93.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH -1.5 - AZ (2.15) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH -1.25 - AZ (1.95) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AZ Alkmaar will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 20 - 90.9%). Levski (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
- AZ is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Levski is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, AZ is the clear favorite.
- We predict that AZ will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, AZ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Levski Sofia?
AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Levski Sofia won against AZ Alkmaar?
Levski Sofia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia were as follows:
21.08.2025
Levski Sofia
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:2
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Levski Sofia
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
