Charlotte Independence vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football  USL League One Cup Charlotte Independence - Lexington
Result
3:2 penalties
31/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Cup
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Adedokun M. , Zengue X. (A),
  • 23', Hafferty J. 🟨,
  • 29', Sorenson A. 🟨,
  • 35', Ciss O. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Romero J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 2, Burke C. , Midence A. (A),
  • 54', Burke C. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 2, Chaney C. , Alvarez L. (A),
  • 67', Burke C. , Mbongue H. ,
  • 68', Adedokun M. , Gilbert G. ,
  • 68', Jauregui R. , Moreno J. ,
  • 68', Sorenson A. , Ngah F. ,
  • 70', Djeffal S. , Williams D. ,
  • 75', Ndiaye B. , Bakero J. ,
  • 78', Midence A. , Goldthorp E. ,
  • 78', Zengue X. , Greene J. ,
  • 82', Nick Firmino 🟥,
  • 90', Spielman N. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Epps M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Chaney C. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Chaney C. (Pen),
  • 1, Goldthorp E. (Pen),
  • 2, Spielman N. (Pen),
  • 2, Mbongue H. (Pen),
  • 3, Alvarez L. (Pen),
  • 3, Gilbert G. (Pen),
  • 4, Moreno J. (Pen),
  • 4, Epps M. (Pen),
  • 5, Bakero J. (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Charlotte Independence
35.2%
Draw
25.9%
Lexington
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 26.5% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 24.6% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte Independence's form might have worsened.
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lexington's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlotte Independence, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Charlotte Independence - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.18)
    3.56
    (3.45)
    2.38
    (2.88)
    8.2%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Charlotte Ind is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lexington has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lexington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Charlotte Ind has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Charlotte Ind will win today's game, with odds of 2.19.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Independence - Lexington were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Lexington - Charlotte Independence 2:2
    03.08.2024 Charlotte Independence - Lexington 3:3
    17.09.2023 Lexington - Charlotte Independence 2:2
    09.07.2023 Charlotte Independence - Lexington 2:1
    13.05.2023 Lexington - Charlotte Independence 1:0
    Latest results of Charlotte Independence
    Latest results of Lexington
    18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2
    10.05.2025 Loudoun United - Lexington 5:1
    26.04.2025 Lexington - Loudoun United 0:1