Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Elena Rybakina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Washington Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elena Rybakina
Result
2:1
26/07/2025 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Washington, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilESPN 2
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
1217
Double Faults
37
1st Serve Percentage
67%60%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (60/83)82% (63/77)
2nd Serve Points Won
66% (27/41)46% (24/52)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)83% (5/6)
1st Return Points Won
19% (15/77)30% (25/83)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (28/52)34% (14/41)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)20% (1/5)
Service Points Won
70% (86/123)68% (86/126)
Return Points Won
32% (40/126)30% (37/123)
Total Points Won
51% (126/249)49% (123/249)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
94% (17/18)94% (17/18)
Return Games Won
6% (1/18)6% (1/18)
Total Games Won
50% (18/36)50% (18/36)

Chances of winning


Leylah Annie Fernandez
27.9%
Elena Rybakina
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 44.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leylah Annie Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leylah Annie Fernandez's form might have worsened.
  • Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elena Rybakina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (+27.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leylah Annie Fernandez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-27.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Rybakina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elena Rybakina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.47
    (1.9)

    1.4
    (1.9)
    0.4%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elena Rybakina?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fernandez (votes: 1 - 50%). Rybakina (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Elena Rybakina will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fernandez is ranked WTA: 36. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 12.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Fernandez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fernandez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elena Rybakina were as follows:
    15.08.2024 Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elena Rybakina 2:1
    15.02.2024 Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elena Rybakina 0:2
    Latest results of Elena Rybakina
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Fernandez L.Joint M.2 : 0
    3Townsend T. (Q)Maria T.2 : 0
    4Baptiste H.Kenin S. (6)0 : 2
    5Rybakina E. (3)Bye
    6Potapova A.Mboko V. (WC)0 : 2
    7Williams V. (WC)Stearns P.2 : 0
    8Starodubtseva Y. (Q)Frech M. (5)0 : 2
    9Linette M. (8)Collins D.2 : 0
    10Kalinskaya A.Rakhimova K. (Q)2 : 0
    11Kessler M.Dolehide C. (Q)1 : 2
    12ByeTauson C. (4)
    13Kostyuk M. (7)Raducanu E.0 : 2
    14Osaka N. (WC)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    15Sakkari M. (WC)Boulter K.2 : 0
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Fernandez L.1 : 2
    2Townsend T.Kenin S. (6)2 : 0
    3Rybakina E. (3)Mboko V.2 : 0
    4Williams V.Frech M. (5)0 : 2
    5Linette M. (8)Kalinskaya A.0 : 2
    6Dolehide C.Tauson C. (4)1 : 2
    7Raducanu E.Osaka N.2 : 0
    8Sakkari M.Navarro E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Fernandez L.Townsend T.2 : 0
    2Rybakina E. (3)Frech M. (5)2 : 0
    3Kalinskaya A.Tauson C. (4)2 : 0
    4Raducanu E.Sakkari M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Fernandez L.Rybakina E. (3)2 : 1
    2Kalinskaya A.Raducanu E.2 : 0

    Final
    1Fernandez L.Kalinskaya A.2 : 0