Elise Mertens vs Leylah Annie Fernandez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/02/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Dubai (United Arab Emirates), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
6	1
Double Faults
4	4
1st Serve Percentage
65%	56%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (25/33)	61% (20/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
61% (11/18)	38% (10/26)
Break Points Saved
100% (4/4)	71% (10/14)
1st Return Points Won
39% (13/33)	33% (11/33)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (16/26)	39% (7/18)
Break Points Converted
29% (4/14)	0% (0/4)
Service Points Won
71% (36/51)	50% (30/60)
Return Points Won
50% (30/60)	29% (15/51)
Total Points Won
59% (65/111)	41% (45/111)
Last 10 Balls
8	2
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
100% (8/8)	50% (4/8)
Return Games Won
50% (4/8)	0% (0/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)	25% (4/16)

Chances of winning

Elise Mertens
45.2%

Leylah Annie Fernandez
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Leylah Annie Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elise Mertens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leylah Annie Fernandez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Elise Mertens - Leylah Annie Fernandez Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.91)		1.74 ↓ (1.91)	5.4% (5%)

What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Leylah Annie Fernandez?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Fernandez will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fernandez: 26.7% – 80.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Mertens is ranked WTA: 32. Fernandez is ranked WTA: 27.
Mertens is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Fernandez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Mertens won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Elise Mertens won against Leylah Annie Fernandez?

Elise Mertens has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leylah Annie Fernandez won against Elise Mertens?

Leylah Annie Fernandez has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Elise Mertens - Leylah Annie Fernandez were as follows:

19.09.2023 Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elise Mertens 2:0

Latest results of Elise Mertens

12.02.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens 2:0 ✺

11.02.2025 Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa 2:0 ✺

09.02.2025 Elise Mertens - Clara Tauson Tauson C. retired ✺

02.02.2025 Ann Li - Elise Mertens 0:2 ✺

01.02.2025 Xin Yu Wang - Elise Mertens 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Leylah Annie Fernandez

12.02.2025 Amanda Anisimova - Leylah Annie Fernandez 2:0 ✺

10.02.2025 Leylah Annie Fernandez - Emma Navarro 2:0 ✺

09.02.2025 Greetje Minnen - Leylah Annie Fernandez 0:2 ✺

06.02.2025 Leylah Annie Fernandez - Ashlyn Krueger 1:2 ✺

05.02.2025 Leylah Annie Fernandez - Lulu Sun 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Rybakina E. (1)	Bye
2	Maria T.	Birrell K. (Q)	1 : 2
3	Ruzic A. (LL)	Raducanu E.	2 : 1
4	Uchijima M. (Q)	Zakharova A. (LL)	0 : 2
5	Bencic B. (9)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 1
6	Sonmez Z. (WC)	Bejlek S. (WC)	0 : 2
7	Siniakova K.	Badosa P.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Svitolina E. (7)
9	Gauff C. (3)	Bye
10	Ostapenko J.	Kalinskaya A.	1 : 2
11	Bouzkova M.	Mertens E.	0 : 2
12	Ruse G. (Q)	Navarro E. (14)	0 : 2
13	Noskova L. (10)	Li A.	2 : 1
14	Cirstea S.	Sasnovich A. (Q)	2 : 0
15	Baptiste H. (RET.) (LL)	Eala A.	0 : 1
16	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
17	Alexandrova E. (8)	Bye
18	Sun L. (WC)	Linette M.	1 : 2
19	Stearns P. (LL)	Frech M. (LL)	2 : 0
20	Kenin S.	Tauson C. (12)	0 : 2
21	Jovic I. (16)	Rakhimova K. (LL)	2 : 1
22	Shnaider D.	Joint M.	2 : 0
23	Gracheva V. (Q)	Sramkova R. (Q)	2 : 1
24	Bye	Pegula J. (4)
25	Andreeva M. (5)	Bye
26	Siegemund L.	Kasatkina D.	0 : 2
27	Seidel E. (Q)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
28	Cristian J.	Marcinko P. (LL)	2 : 0
29	Samsonova L. (13)	Fernandez L.	1 : 2
30	Yastremska D.	Tjen J. (WC)	0 : 2
31	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Krejcikova B.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Anisimova A. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Rybakina E. (1)	Birrell K.	2 : 0
2	Ruzic A.	Zakharova A.	2 : 1
3	Bencic B. (WO.) (9)	Bejlek S.
4	Badosa P. (RET.)	Svitolina E. (7)	0 : 1
5	Gauff C. (3)	Kalinskaya A.	2 : 0
6	Mertens E.	Navarro E. (14)	2 : 0
7	Noskova L. (10)	Cirstea S.	0 : 2
8	Eala A.	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
9	Alexandrova E. (8)	Linette M.	1 : 2
10	Stearns P.	Tauson C. (12)	0 : 2
11	Jovic I. (16)	Shnaider D.	2 : 1
12	Gracheva V.	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
13	Andreeva M. (WO.) (5)	Kasatkina D.
14	Seidel E. (RET.)	Cristian J.	0 : 1
15	Fernandez L.	Tjen J.	0 : 2
16	Krejcikova B.	Anisimova A. (WO.) (2)

1/8-finals

1	Rybakina E. (RET.) (1)	Ruzic A.	1 : 1
2	Bencic B. (9)	Svitolina E. (7)	1 : 2
3	Gauff C. (3)	Mertens E.	2 : 1
4	Cirstea S.	Eala A.	0 : 2
5	Linette M.	Tauson C. (12)	0 : 2
6	Jovic I. (16)	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
7	Andreeva M. (5)	Cristian J.	2 : 0
8	Tjen J.	Anisimova A. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Ruzic A.	Svitolina E. (7)	1 : 2
2	Gauff C. (3)	Eala A.	2 : 0
3	Tauson C. (12)	Pegula J. (4)	1 : 2
4	Andreeva M. (5)	Anisimova A. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Svitolina E. (7)	Gauff C. (3)	2 : 1
2	Pegula J. (4)	Anisimova A. (2)	2 : 1

Final

1

Svitolina E. (7)

Pegula J. (4)

0 : 2