Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Annie Fernandez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Washington Jessica Pegula - Leylah Annie Fernandez
Result
1:2
24/07/2025 at 17:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
49
1st Serve Percentage
53%52%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (34/49)77% (36/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (24/44)50% (22/44)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
23% (11/47)31% (15/49)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (22/44)45% (20/44)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)38% (3/8)
Service Points Won
63% (57/91)63% (57/90)
Return Points Won
37% (33/90)37% (34/91)
Total Points Won
50% (90/181)50% (91/181)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Jessica Pegula
67.6%
Leylah Annie Fernandez
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.2% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.5% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Leylah Annie Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leylah Annie Fernandez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jessica Pegula - Leylah Annie Fernandez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.32)

    2.92
    (2.97)
    5.6%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Leylah Annie Fernandez?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Fernandez will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fernandez: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pegula (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pegula is ranked WTA: 4. Fernandez is ranked WTA: 36.
    • Pegula is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Fernandez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fernandez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Pegula is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Leylah Annie Fernandez were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Jessica Pegula - Leylah Annie Fernandez 2:1
    24.03.2024 Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jessica Pegula 0:2
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Fernandez L.Joint M.2 : 0
    3Townsend T. (Q)Maria T.2 : 0
    4Baptiste H.Kenin S. (6)0 : 2
    5Rybakina E. (3)Bye
    6Potapova A.Mboko V. (WC)0 : 2
    7Williams V. (WC)Stearns P.2 : 0
    8Starodubtseva Y. (Q)Frech M. (5)0 : 2
    9Linette M. (8)Collins D.2 : 0
    10Kalinskaya A.Rakhimova K. (Q)2 : 0
    11Kessler M.Dolehide C. (Q)1 : 2
    12ByeTauson C. (4)
    13Kostyuk M. (7)Raducanu E.0 : 2
    14Osaka N. (WC)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    15Sakkari M. (WC)Boulter K.2 : 0
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Fernandez L.1 : 2
    2Townsend T.Kenin S. (6)2 : 0
    3Rybakina E. (3)Mboko V.2 : 0
    4Williams V.Frech M. (5)0 : 2
    5Linette M. (8)Kalinskaya A.0 : 2
    6Dolehide C.Tauson C. (4)1 : 2
    7Raducanu E.Osaka N.2 : 0
    8Sakkari M.Navarro E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Fernandez L.Townsend T.2 : 0
    2Rybakina E. (3)Frech M. (5)2 : 0
    3Kalinskaya A.Tauson C. (4)2 : 0
    4Raducanu E.Sakkari M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Fernandez L.Rybakina E. (3)2 : 1
    2Kalinskaya A.Raducanu E.2 : 0

    Final
    1Fernandez L.Kalinskaya A.2 : 0