Katerina Siniakova vs Leylah Annie Fernandez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 18:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	2
Double Faults
6	5
1st serve percentage
69%	55%
1st serve points won
64% (61/95)	64% (46/72)
2nd serve points won
49% (21/43)	55% (32/58)
Break Points Saved
78% (14/18)	79% (15/19)
1st return points won
36% (26/72)	36% (34/95)
2nd return points won
45% (26/58)	51% (22/43)
Break Points Converted
21% (4/19)	22% (4/18)
Service Points Won
59% (82/138)	60% (78/130)
Return Points Won
40% (52/130)	41% (56/138)
Total Points Won
50% (135/268)	50% (135/268)
Last 10 balls
9	1
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
76% (13/17)	76% (13/17)
Return games won
24% (4/17)	24% (4/17)
Total games won
50% (17/34)	50% (17/34)

Chances of winning

Katerina Siniakova
54.2%

Leylah Annie Fernandez
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katerina Siniakova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Leylah Annie Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Katerina Siniakova - Leylah Annie Fernandez Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.89)		2.08 ↑ (1.89)	4.8% (5.8%)

What is the prediction for Katerina Siniakova - Leylah Annie Fernandez?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Siniakova will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Fernandez will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fernandez: 41.6% – 98.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Siniakova is ranked WTA: 44. Fernandez is ranked WTA: 27.
Siniakova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fernandez's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Fernandez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Siniakova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Katerina Siniakova won against Leylah Annie Fernandez?

Katerina Siniakova has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leylah Annie Fernandez won against Katerina Siniakova?

Leylah Annie Fernandez has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Katerina Siniakova - Leylah Annie Fernandez were as follows:

21.10.2023 Katerina Siniakova - Leylah Annie Fernandez 2:0

15.10.2023 Leylah Annie Fernandez - Katerina Siniakova 2:1

Latest results of Katerina Siniakova

05.03.2026 Katerina Siniakova - Sofia Kenin 2:1 ✺

16.02.2026 Katerina Siniakova - Paula Badosa 0:2 ✺

10.02.2026 Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Katerina Siniakova 2:1 ✺

09.02.2026 Katerina Siniakova - Clara Tauson 2:0 ✺

21.01.2026 Katerina Siniakova - Amanda Anisimova 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Leylah Annie Fernandez

16.02.2026 Leylah Annie Fernandez - Janice Tjen 0:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Ludmilla Samsonova - Leylah Annie Fernandez 1:2 ✺

08.02.2026 Ann Li - Leylah Annie Fernandez 2:0 ✺

03.02.2026 McCartney Kessler - Leylah Annie Fernandez 2:0 ✺

01.02.2026 Ajla Tomljanovic - Leylah Annie Fernandez Canceled ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Sakatsume H. (Q)	Parks A. (WC)	2 : 0
3	Cristian J.	Tjen J.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Joint M. (29)
5	Jovic I. (18)	Bye
6	Stephens S. (WC)	Osorio C.	0 : 2
7	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)	McNally C.	2 : 1
8	Bye	Osaka N. (16)
9	Mboko V. (10)	Bye
10	Birrell K.	Selekhmeteva O.	2 : 0
11	Sonmez Z.	Kessler M.	2 : 0
12	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (23)
13	Raducanu E. (25)	Bye
14	Seidel E.	Zakharova A. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Galfi D. (LL)	Blinkova A.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Anisimova A. (6)
17	Gauff C. (4)	Bye
18	Andreescu B. (WC)	Rakhimova K. (Q)	1 : 2
19	Yastremska D.	Zhang S.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Eala A. (31)
21	Shnaider D. (21)	Bye
22	Cirstea S.	Maria T.	2 : 1
23	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Haddad Maia B.	2 : 1
24	Bye	Noskova L. (14)
25	Alexandrova E. (11)	Bye
26	Gibson T. (Q)	Li A.	2 : 0
27	Putintseva Y.	Badosa P.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Tauson C. (17)
29	Wang Xin. (30)	Bye
30	Tomljanovic A.	Ruse G.	2 : 0
31	Potapova A.	Stakusic M. (Q)	2 : 1
32	Bye	Paolini J. (7)
33	Pegula J. (5)	Bye
34	Vekic D. (WC)	Valentova T.	2 : 0
35	Volynets K. (WC)	Sramkova R. (RET.)	1 : 0
36	Bye	Ostapenko J. (26)
37	Mertens E. (22)	Bye
38	Bucsa C.	Vidmanova D. (Q)	2 : 0
39	Hunter S. (Q)	Frech M.	2 : 1
40	Bye	Bencic B. (12)
41	Keys M. (15)	Bye
42	Parry D. (Q)	Williams V. (WC)	2 : 1
43	Tararudee L. (Q)	Kartal S.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Navarro E. (20)
45	Kostyuk M. (28)	Bye
46	Bouzkova M.	Townsend T. (Q)	0 : 2
47	Arango E.	Baptiste H.	1 : 2
48	Bye	Rybakina E. (3)
49	Andreeva M. (8)	Bye
50	Stearns P.	Sierra S.	0 : 2
51	Siniakova K.	Kenin S.	2 : 1
52	Bye	Fernandez L. (27)
53	Samsonova L. (19)	Bye
54	Linette M.	Krueger A.	0 : 2
55	Siegemund L.	Marcinko P.	2 : 1
56	Bye	Svitolina E. (9)
57	Muchova K. (13)	Bye
58	Jacquemot E.	Bondar A.	0 : 2
59	Ruzic A.	Brady J. (WC)	2 : 1
60	Bye	Zheng Q. (24)
61	Sakkari M. (32)	Bye
62	Gracheva V.	Tagger L. (WC)	0 : 2
63	Jones F.	Day K. (Q)	0 : 2
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Sakatsume H.	2 : 0
2	Cristian J.	Joint M. (29)	2 : 1
3	Jovic I. (18)	Osorio C.	1 : 2
4	Jimenez Kasintseva V.	Osaka N. (16)	0 : 2
5	Mboko V. (10)	Birrell K.	2 : 0
6	Sonmez Z.	Kalinskaya A. (23)	0 : 2
7	Raducanu E. (25)	Zakharova A.	2 : 0
8	Blinkova A.	Anisimova A. (6)	1 : 2
9	Gauff C. (4)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 0
10	Yastremska D.	Eala A. (31)	1 : 2
11	Shnaider D. (21)	Cirstea S.	0 : 2
12	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Noskova L. (14)	0 : 2
13	Alexandrova E. (11)	Gibson T.	0 : 2
14	Putintseva Y.	Tauson C. (17)	0 : 2
15	Wang Xin. (30)	Tomljanovic A.	0 : 2
16	Potapova A.	Paolini J. (7)	1 : 2
17	Pegula J. (5)	Vekic D.	2 : 1
18	Volynets K.	Ostapenko J. (26)	0 : 2
19	Mertens E. (22)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
20	Hunter S.	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
21	Keys M. (15)	Parry D.	2 : 0
22	Kartal S.	Navarro E. (20)	2 : 1
23	Kostyuk M. (28)	Townsend T.	2 : 0
24	Baptiste H.	Rybakina E. (3)	1 : 2
25	Andreeva M. (8)	Sierra S.	2 : 0
26	Siniakova K.	Fernandez L. (27)	2 : 1
27	Samsonova L. (19)	Krueger A.	1 : 2
28	Siegemund L.	Svitolina E. (9)	1 : 2
29	Muchova K. (13)	Bondar A.	2 : 0
30	Ruzic A.	Zheng Q. (24)	2 : 0
31	Sakkari M. (32)	Tagger L.	2 : 0
32	Day K.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Cristian J.	2 : 0
2	Osorio C.	Osaka N. (16)	1 : 2
3	Mboko V. (10)	Kalinskaya A. (23)	2 : 0
4	Raducanu E. (25)	Anisimova A. (6)	0 : 2
5	Gauff C. (RET.) (4)	Eala A. (31)	0 : 1
6	Cirstea S.	Noskova L. (14)	1 : 2
7	Gibson T.	Tauson C. (17)	2 : 1
8	Tomljanovic A.	Paolini J. (7)	1 : 2
9	Pegula J. (5)	Ostapenko J. (26)	2 : 1
10	Mertens E. (22)	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
11	Keys M. (15)	Kartal S.	1 : 2
12	Kostyuk M. (28)	Rybakina E. (3)	0 : 2
13	Andreeva M. (8)	Siniakova K.	1 : 2
14	Krueger A.	Svitolina E. (9)	0 : 2
15	Muchova K. (13)	Ruzic A.	2 : 0
16	Sakkari M. (32)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Osaka N. (16)	2 : 0
2	Mboko V. (10)	Anisimova A. (6)	2 : 0
3	Eala A. (31)	Noskova L. (14)	0 : 2
4	Gibson T.	Paolini J. (7)	2 : 1
5	Pegula J. (5)	Bencic B. (12)	2 : 0
6	Kartal S. (RET.)	Rybakina E. (3)	0 : 1
7	Siniakova K. (RET.)	Svitolina E. (9)	0 : 1
8	Muchova K. (13)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Mboko V. (10)	2 : 0
2	Noskova L. (14)	Gibson T.	2 : 1
3	Pegula J. (5)	Rybakina E. (3)	0 : 2
4	Svitolina E. (9)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Noskova L. (14)	2 : 0
2	Rybakina E. (3)	Svitolina E. (9)	2 : 0

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Rybakina E. (3)

2 : 1