Li Tu vs Blake Ellis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
11/02/2026 at 23:25 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
88
Double Faults
53
1st serve percentage
65%53%
1st serve points won
89% (31/35)69% (22/32)
2nd serve points won
53% (10/19)57% (16/28)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)50% (2/4)
1st return points won
34% (11/32)14% (5/35)
2nd return points won
43% (12/28)47% (9/19)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)0% (0/0)
Winners
1818
Unforced errors
1231
Net points won
100% (3/3)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
76% (41/54)63% (37/59)
Return Points Won
37% (22/59)24% (13/54)
Total Points Won
56% (63/113)44% (50/113)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (10/10)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)0% (0/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Li Tu
55.3%
Blake Ellis
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Li Tu - Blake Ellis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.68)

    2.09
    (2.04)
    7%
    (8.7%)
    What is the prediction for Li Tu - Blake Ellis?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ellis (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Games - Ellis (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ellis (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tu is ranked ATP: 415. Ellis is ranked ATP: 458.
    • Tu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ellis is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Li Tu - Blake Ellis were as follows:
    27.01.2025 Li Tu - Blake Ellis 0:2
    Latest results of Li Tu
    09.02.2026 Li Tu - Naoki Nakagawa 2:1
    09.02.2026 Li Tu - Yasutaka Uchiyama Canceled
    03.02.2026 Li Tu - Tristan Schoolkate 0:2
    02.02.2026 Matt Hulme - Li Tu 1:2
    12.01.2026 Li Tu - Rafael Jodar 0:2
    Latest results of Blake Ellis
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mackenzie J. (LL)Polmans M.1 : 2
    2Matsuoka H.Delaney Ja.2 : 0
    3Marinkov P. (WC)Zhang Z.0 : 2
    4Hewitt C. (WC)Uchiyama Y. (9)0 : 2
    5Sakamoto R. (3)Mochizuki Y. (Q)2 : 0
    6Sinclair C. (Q)Hulme M. (LL)2 : 1
    7Tu L.Nakagawa N. (Q)2 : 1
    8Ellis B.Sun F. (7)2 : 1
    9Blanch Dar. (8)Denolly C.2 : 0
    10Weber A.Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 1
    11Jasika O.Shiraishi H.2 : 1
    12Isomura K. (Q)Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    13Zhou Y. (6)Sach T. (WC)1 : 2
    14Bouzige M.Moriya H.0 : 2
    15Dellavedova M. (Q)Imamura M. (Q)1 : 2
    16Daniel T.Sweeny D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Polmans M.Matsuoka H.1 : 2
    2Zhang Z.Uchiyama Y. (9)2 : 0
    3Sakamoto R. (3)Sinclair C.2 : 0
    4Tu L.Ellis B.2 : 0
    5Blanch Dar. (8)Weber A.2 : 0
    6Jasika O. (RET.)Bolt A. (4)0 : 1
    7Sach T.Moriya H.1 : 2
    8Imamura M.Sweeny D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Matsuoka H.Zhang Z.0 : 2
    2Sakamoto R. (3)Tu L.2 : 0
    3Blanch Dar. (8)Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    4Moriya H.Sweeny D. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Zhang Z.Sakamoto R. (3)2 : 0
    2Bolt A. (4)Moriya H.2 : 1

    Final
    1Zhang Z.Bolt A. (4)2 : 0