Result
2:0
11/02/2026 at 23:25 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 53% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 89% (31/35) | 69% (22/32) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 57% (16/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 50% (2/4) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 34% (11/32) | 14% (5/35) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 47% (9/19) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 0% (0/0) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 12 | 31 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 50% (4/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 76% (41/54) | 63% (37/59) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (22/59) | 24% (13/54) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (63/113) | 44% (50/113) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 80% (8/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 0% (0/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 40% (8/20) |
Chances of winning
Li Tu 55.3% | Blake Ellis 44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Li Tu - Blake Ellis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↑ (1.68) |
|
2.09 ↑ (2.04) |
7% (8.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Li Tu - Blake Ellis?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ellis (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 Games - Ellis (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ellis (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Tu is ranked ATP: 415. Ellis is ranked ATP: 458.
- Tu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ellis is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Li Tu won against Blake Ellis?
Li Tu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Blake Ellis won against Li Tu?
Blake Ellis has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Li Tu - Blake Ellis were as follows:
27.01.2025
Li Tu
-
Blake Ellis
0:2
Latest results of Blake Ellis
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Mackenzie J. (LL) | Polmans M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Matsuoka H. | Delaney Ja. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Marinkov P. (WC) | Zhang Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hewitt C. (WC) | Uchiyama Y. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sakamoto R. (3) | Mochizuki Y. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Sinclair C. (Q) | Hulme M. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Tu L. | Nakagawa N. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Ellis B. | Sun F. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Blanch Dar. (8) | Denolly C. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Weber A. | Jorda Sanchis D. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Jasika O. | Shiraishi H. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Isomura K. (Q) | Bolt A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Zhou Y. (6) | Sach T. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Bouzige M. | Moriya H. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Dellavedova M. (Q) | Imamura M. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Daniel T. | Sweeny D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Polmans M. | Matsuoka H. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Zhang Z. | Uchiyama Y. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Sakamoto R. (3) | Sinclair C. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Tu L. | Ellis B. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Blanch Dar. (8) | Weber A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Jasika O. (RET.) | Bolt A. (4) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Sach T. | Moriya H. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Imamura M. | Sweeny D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Matsuoka H. | Zhang Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Sakamoto R. (3) | Tu L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Blanch Dar. (8) | Bolt A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Moriya H. | Sweeny D. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Zhang Z. | Sakamoto R. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bolt A. (4) | Moriya H. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Zhang Z. | Bolt A. (4) | 2 : 0 |