Li Tu vs Carl Emil Overbeck – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/03/2026 at 00:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
73
Double Faults
65
1st serve percentage
57%58%
1st serve points won
65% (33/51)69% (29/42)
2nd serve points won
67% (26/39)50% (15/30)
Break Points Saved
7/92/5
1st return points won
31% (13/42)35% (18/51)
2nd return points won
50% (15/30)33% (13/39)
Break Points Converted
3/52/9
Winners
2624
Unforced errors
4040
Net points won
63% (5/8)67% (8/12)
Service Points Won
65% (55/85)61% (44/72)
Return Points Won
39% (28/72)35% (30/85)
Total Points Won
53% (83/157)47% (74/157)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
83% (10/12)75% (9/12)
Return games won
25% (3/12)17% (2/12)
Total games won
54% (13/24)46% (11/24)

Chances of winning


Li Tu
53%
Carl Emil Overbeck
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Carl Emil Overbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carl Emil Overbeck than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Li Tu - Carl Emil Overbeck Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.69)

    1.98
    (2.07)
    7.1%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Tu is ranked ATP: 428. Overbeck is ranked ATP: 489.
    • In recent matches, Tu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Overbeck is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Tu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Li Tu
    21.03.2026 Ryo Tabata - Li Tu Canceled
    05.03.2026 Hiroki Moriya - Li Tu 1:2
    04.03.2026 Keisuke Saitoh - Li Tu 0:2
    02.03.2026 Shinji Hazawa - Li Tu 1:2
    28.02.2026 Enzo Aguiard - Li Tu 2:0
    Latest results of Carl Emil Overbeck
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shimabukuro S. (1)Honda N. (WC)0 : 2
    2Broady L.Trotter J. K.2 : 0
    3Tu L. (Alt)Overbeck C. E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Wu Tung-LinNoguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    5Hsu Y. H. (4)Boulais J. (Q)2 : 0
    6Shimizu Y.Cui J. (Q)2 : 1
    7Samrej K. (Q)Jubb P.0 : 2
    8Wendelken H.Zhou Y. (5)2 : 1
    9Uchida K. (6)Sun F. (Q)0 : 2
    10Shin S.Imamura M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Jones M.Uchiyama Y.1 : 2
    12Isomura K. (WC)Added D. (3)0 : 2
    13McCabe J. (8)Ilagan A.2 : 0
    14Matsuoka H.Milic O. (NG)2 : 1
    15Ellis B. (PR)Kwon S.0 : 2
    16Tokuda R.Holmgren A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Honda N.Broady L.0 : 2
    2Tu L.Noguchi R. (7)1 : 2
    3Hsu Y. H. (4)Shimizu Y.1 : 2
    4Jubb P.Wendelken H.1 : 2
    5Sun F.Imamura M.2 : 1
    6Uchiyama Y.Added D. (3)2 : 0
    7McCabe J. (8)Matsuoka H.0 : 2
    8Kwon S.Holmgren A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Broady L.Noguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    2Shimizu Y.Wendelken H.0 : 2
    3Sun F.Uchiyama Y.0 : 2
    4Matsuoka H.Kwon S. (RET.)1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Noguchi R. (7)Wendelken H.2 : 1
    2Uchiyama Y.Matsuoka H.2 : 1

    Final
    1Noguchi R. (7)Uchiyama Y.2 : 1