Result
2:0
24/03/2026 at 00:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 58% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 65% (33/51) | 69% (29/42) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 67% (26/39) | 50% (15/30) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 7/9 | 2/5 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 31% (13/42) | 35% (18/51) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (15/30) | 33% (13/39) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/5 | 2/9 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 40 | 40 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 67% (8/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (55/85) | 61% (44/72) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (28/72) | 35% (30/85) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (83/157) | 47% (74/157) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 75% (9/12) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 17% (2/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 46% (11/24) |
Chances of winning
Li Tu 53% | Carl Emil Overbeck 47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Carl Emil Overbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carl Emil Overbeck than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Li Tu - Carl Emil Overbeck Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↑ (1.69) |
|
1.98 ↓ (2.07) |
7.1% (7.8%) | |
Preview Facts
- Tu is ranked ATP: 428. Overbeck is ranked ATP: 489.
- In recent matches, Tu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Overbeck is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Tu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Li Tu won against Carl Emil Overbeck?
Li Tu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carl Emil Overbeck won against Li Tu?
Carl Emil Overbeck has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Li Tu - Carl Emil Overbeck were as follows:
Latest results of Carl Emil Overbeck
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Shimabukuro S. (1) | Honda N. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Broady L. | Trotter J. K. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Tu L. (Alt) | Overbeck C. E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Wu Tung-Lin | Noguchi R. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Hsu Y. H. (4) | Boulais J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Shimizu Y. | Cui J. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Samrej K. (Q) | Jubb P. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Wendelken H. | Zhou Y. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Uchida K. (6) | Sun F. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Shin S. | Imamura M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Jones M. | Uchiyama Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Isomura K. (WC) | Added D. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | McCabe J. (8) | Ilagan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Matsuoka H. | Milic O. (NG) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Ellis B. (PR) | Kwon S. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Tokuda R. | Holmgren A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Honda N. | Broady L. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Tu L. | Noguchi R. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Hsu Y. H. (4) | Shimizu Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Jubb P. | Wendelken H. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Sun F. | Imamura M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Uchiyama Y. | Added D. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | McCabe J. (8) | Matsuoka H. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Kwon S. | Holmgren A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Broady L. | Noguchi R. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shimizu Y. | Wendelken H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Sun F. | Uchiyama Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Matsuoka H. | Kwon S. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Noguchi R. (7) | Wendelken H. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Uchiyama Y. | Matsuoka H. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Noguchi R. (7) | Uchiyama Y. | 2 : 1 |