Li Tu vs Naoki Nakagawa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/02/2026 at 21:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1918
Double Faults
59
1st serve percentage
64%57%
1st serve points won
78% (59/76)86% (59/69)
2nd serve points won
60% (25/42)36% (19/53)
Break Points Saved
90% (9/10)71% (5/7)
1st return points won
14% (10/69)24% (18/76)
2nd return points won
64% (34/53)40% (17/42)
Break Points Converted
29% (2/7)10% (1/10)
Winners
4237
Unforced errors
4650
Net points won
62% (8/13)87% (13/15)
Service Points Won
71% (84/118)64% (78/121)
Return Points Won
36% (43/121)29% (34/118)
Total Points Won
53% (127/239)47% (112/239)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
94% (16/17)88% (15/17)
Return games won
12% (2/17)6% (1/17)
Total games won
53% (18/34)47% (16/34)

Chances of winning


Li Tu
66.7%
Naoki Nakagawa
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Li Tu - Naoki Nakagawa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.5)

    2.78
    (2.44)
    7.1%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Tu is ranked ATP: 415. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 650.
    • Nakagawa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Li Tu - Naoki Nakagawa were as follows:
    11.10.2022 Li Tu - Naoki Nakagawa 2:0
    Latest results of Li Tu
    09.02.2026 Li Tu - Yasutaka Uchiyama Canceled
    03.02.2026 Li Tu - Tristan Schoolkate 0:2
    02.02.2026 Matt Hulme - Li Tu 1:2
    12.01.2026 Li Tu - Rafael Jodar 0:2
    24.11.2025 Jason Kubler - Li Tu 2:0
    Latest results of Naoki Nakagawa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mackenzie J. (LL)Polmans M.1 : 2
    2Matsuoka H.Delaney Ja.2 : 0
    3Marinkov P. (WC)Zhang Z.0 : 2
    4Hewitt C. (WC)Uchiyama Y. (9)0 : 2
    5Sakamoto R. (3)Mochizuki Y. (Q)2 : 0
    6Sinclair C. (Q)Hulme M. (LL)2 : 1
    7Tu L.Nakagawa N. (Q)2 : 1
    8Ellis B.Sun F. (7)2 : 1
    9Blanch Dar. (8)Denolly C.2 : 0
    10Weber A.Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 1
    11Jasika O.Shiraishi H.2 : 1
    12Isomura K. (Q)Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    13Zhou Y. (6)Sach T. (WC)1 : 2
    14Bouzige M.Moriya H.0 : 2
    15Dellavedova M. (Q)Imamura M. (Q)1 : 2
    16Daniel T.Sweeny D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Polmans M.Matsuoka H.1 : 2
    2Zhang Z.Uchiyama Y. (9)2 : 0
    3Sakamoto R. (3)Sinclair C.2 : 0
    4Tu L.Ellis B.2 : 0
    5Blanch Dar. (8)Weber A.2 : 0
    6Jasika O. (RET.)Bolt A. (4)0 : 1
    7Sach T.Moriya H.1 : 2
    8Imamura M.Sweeny D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Matsuoka H.Zhang Z.0 : 2
    2Sakamoto R. (3)Tu L.2 : 0
    3Blanch Dar. (8)Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    4Moriya H.Sweeny D. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Zhang Z.Sakamoto R. (3)2 : 0
    2Bolt A. (4)Moriya H.2 : 1

    Final
    1Zhang Z.Bolt A. (4)2 : 0