Li Tu vs Yosuke Watanuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Guangzhou Challenger Men Li Tu - Yosuke Watanuki
Result
1:2
28/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1413
Double Faults
139
1st Serve Percentage
54%43%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (43/58)91% (43/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (25/49)49% (31/63)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
9% (4/47)26% (15/58)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (32/63)49% (24/49)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
64% (68/107)67% (74/110)
Return Points Won
33% (36/110)36% (39/107)
Total Points Won
48% (104/217)52% (113/217)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Li Tu
35.4%
Yosuke Watanuki
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 60%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Li Tu's form might have worsened.
  • Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yosuke Watanuki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Li Tu - Yosuke Watanuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.25)

    1.46
    (1.58)
    6.8%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Tu is ranked ATP: 164. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 213.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Watanuki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Watanuki will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Li Tu
    22.04.2025 Hugo Grenier - Li Tu 2:0
    17.04.2025 Hyeon Chung - Li Tu 2:1
    16.04.2025 Marat Sharipov - Li Tu 1:2
    12.03.2025 Li Tu - Eliot Spizzirri 0:2
    11.03.2025 Li Tu - Giulio Zeppieri 2:0
    Latest results of Yosuke Watanuki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Walton A. (1)Ilagan A. (Q)2 : 0
    2Sun F. (Alt)Kachmazov A.0 : 2
    3Jasika O.Langmo C. (Q)2 : 0
    4Samrej K. (LL)McCabe J. (7)1 : 2
    5Schoolkate T. (3)Peniston R. (Q)2 : 1
    6Bolt A.Shimabukuro S.1 : 2
    7Bouzige M. (Q)Roh H.2 : 0
    8Chen C. (WC)Grenier H. (6)0 : 2
    9Tu L. (5)Watanuki Y.1 : 2
    10Mo Y. C. (Q)Simakin I. (Alt)0 : 2
    11Rosenkranz M. (Q)Sharipov M.1 : 2
    12Te R. (WC)Atmane T. (4)1 : 2
    13Lestienne C. (8)Hsu Y. H.0 : 2
    14Escoffier A.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    15Zhou Y. (WC)Cui J. (Alt)0 : 2
    16Noguchi R.Holt B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Walton A. (1)Kachmazov A.1 : 2
    2Jasika O.McCabe J. (7)1 : 2
    3Schoolkate T. (3)Shimabukuro S. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Bouzige M.Grenier H. (6)0 : 2
    5Watanuki Y.Simakin I.0 : 2
    6Sharipov M.Atmane T. (4)0 : 2
    7Hsu Y. H.Escoffier A.2 : 1
    8Cui J.Holt B. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kachmazov A.McCabe J. (7)2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T. (3)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    3Simakin I.Atmane T. (4)1 : 2
    4Hsu Y. H.Holt B. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kachmazov A.Schoolkate T. (3)1 : 2
    2Atmane T. (4)Holt B. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Schoolkate T. (3)Atmane T. (4)0 : 2