Lia Karatancheva vs Chloe Paquet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
08/03/2026 at 03:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya 3 - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
35
1st serve percentage
65%64%
1st serve points won
62% (24/39)44% (16/36)
2nd serve points won
52% (11/21)35% (7/20)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)45% (5/11)
1st return points won
56% (20/36)38% (15/39)
2nd return points won
65% (13/20)48% (10/21)
Break Points Converted
55% (6/11)33% (3/9)
Service Points Won
58% (35/60)42% (23/55)
Return Points Won
58% (32/55)42% (25/60)
Total Points Won
58% (67/115)42% (48/115)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (6/9)33% (3/9)
Return games won
67% (6/9)33% (3/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Lia Karatancheva
36.4%
Chloe Paquet
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 58.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lia Karatancheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Chloe Paquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chloe Paquet than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Lia Karatancheva - Chloe Paquet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.49)

    1.47
    (1.48)
    6.4%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 291. Paquet is ranked WTA: 215.
    • Karatancheva is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Paquet has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Paquet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Paquet will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lia Karatancheva
    Latest results of Chloe Paquet
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rus A. (9)Gorgodze E.1 : 2
    2Kalinina A. (SE)Pridankina E. (Q)2 : 0
    3Charaeva A.Karatancheva L. (LL)2 : 0
    4Avanesyan E.Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (6)2 : 0
    5Udvardy P. (4)Romero Gormaz L.0 : 2
    6Kawa K.Papamichail D.2 : 0
    7Monnet C. (Q)Shymanovich I.2 : 0
    8Cengiz B. (WC)Salkova D. (7)1 : 2
    9Erjavec V. (5)Oz I. (WC)2 : 0
    10Kostovic T.Pigato L. (Q)2 : 1
    11Bronzetti L.Brancaccio N.0 : 2
    12Hontama M. (Q)Grabher J. (3)0 : 2
    13Chwalinska M. (8)Kumru A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Popa M. S. (WC)Zidansek T.1 : 2
    15Kudermetova P.Maristany G.2 : 0
    16Carle M. L.Uchijima M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Gorgodze E.Kalinina A.0 : 2
    2Charaeva A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    3Romero Gormaz L.Kawa K.0 : 2
    4Monnet C.Salkova D. (7)2 : 0
    5Erjavec V. (5)Kostovic T.2 : 1
    6Brancaccio N.Grabher J. (3)2 : 1
    7Chwalinska M. (8)Zidansek T.1 : 2
    8Kudermetova P.Uchijima M. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Kalinina A.Charaeva A.2 : 0
    2Kawa K.Monnet C.2 : 0
    3Erjavec V. (5)Brancaccio N.2 : 0
    4Zidansek T.Kudermetova P.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Kalinina A.Kawa K.2 : 0
    2Erjavec V. (5)Zidansek T.0 : 2

    Final
    1Kalinina A.Zidansek T.2 : 0