Lia Karatancheva vs Victoria Rodriguez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
20/10/2025 at 22:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Queretaro, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
61%73%
1st Serve Points Won
45% (15/33)72% (33/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (9/21)47% (8/17)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)100% (4/4)
1st Return Points Won
30% (14/46)58% (19/33)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (9/17)57% (12/21)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/4)45% (5/11)
Service Points Won
43% (23/54)65% (41/63)
Return Points Won
35% (22/63)57% (31/54)
Total Points Won
38% (45/117)62% (72/117)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
38% (3/8)100% (7/7)
Return Games Won
0% (0/7)63% (5/8)
Total Games Won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Lia Karatancheva
63.3%
Victoria Rodriguez
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lia Karatancheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Victoria Rodriguez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Rodriguez than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Lia Karatancheva - Victoria Rodriguez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.57)

    2.52
    (2.25)
    6%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 308. Rodriguez is ranked WTA: 383.
    • Both players are currently in poor form.
    • Karatancheva might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lia Karatancheva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bejlek S. (1)Arconada U. M.2 : 1
    2Nepliy E. (Q)Lee G.0 : 2
    3Karatancheva L.Rodriguez V.0 : 2
    4Garibay Romero C. (WC)Janicijevic S. (7)0 : 2
    5Sanchez A. S. (4)Jokic K.2 : 1
    6Tran L.Colmegna M.0 : 2
    7Cherubini D.Trevisan M.2 : 1
    8Sousa Salazar N.Pieri J. (8)0 : 2
    9Chang H. (6)Naito Y.2 : 0
    10Gonzalez M. A. (WC)Herrero Linana A.0 : 2
    11Pareja J.Strakhova V.2 : 0
    12Castillo Meza M. (WC)Vandewinkel H. (3)0 : 2
    13Bulgaru M. (5)Navarro M. F. (Q)2 : 0
    14Kazionova E.Okalova M.1 : 2
    15Giavara H. (Q)Portillo Ramirez M. J.2 : 0
    16Scott K. (Q)Lepchenko V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Bejlek S. (1)Lee G.2 : 0
    2Rodriguez V.Janicijevic S. (7)0 : 2
    3Sanchez A. S. (4)Colmegna M.0 : 2
    4Cherubini D.Pieri J. (8)1 : 2
    5Chang H. (6)Herrero Linana A.1 : 2
    6Pareja J.Vandewinkel H. (3)0 : 2
    7Bulgaru M. (5)Okalova M.2 : 0
    8Giavara H.Scott K.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bejlek S. (1)Janicijevic S. (7)2 : 0
    2Colmegna M.Pieri J. (8)2 : 0
    3Herrero Linana A.Vandewinkel H. (3)0 : 2
    4Bulgaru M. (5)Scott K.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bejlek S. (1)Colmegna M.2 : 0
    2Vandewinkel H. (3)Scott K.1 : 2

    Final
    1Bejlek S. (1)Scott K.2 : 0